Sporting Cristal vs Palmeiras Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Sporting Cristal v Palmeiras — Team-Based Signals
Sporting Cristal vs Palmeiras Head-to-Head — Last 2 Meetings
1-0
HT 0-0
Palmeiras
LKU
2-1
HT 1-0
Sporting Cristal
LKU
Sporting Cristal 2-3 Palmeiras — Actual Match Statistics
Palmeiras squeezed past Sporting Cristal 3-2 away from home. Half-time: 0-1. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.
Just as the model leaned, our model had Palmeiras as the likeliest winner at 50%, and the 3-2 landed on that lead. The goals read — no to both teams scoring (55%) — went the other way, though.
On the day, Sporting Cristal had 40% of the ball to Palmeiras's 60%, shots finished 14-19, expected goals 0.87 to 3.59 — an xG gap that size says the one-goal margin undersold Palmeiras's control.
For context: across their last 2 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Sporting Cristal and 1.00 for Palmeiras.
What was the final score of Sporting Cristal vs Palmeiras?
Sporting Cristal 2-3 Palmeiras in the Copa Libertadores on 04/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Sporting Cristal vs Palmeiras?
Before kick-off our model rated an Palmeiras win the most likely single outcome at about 50%, with the full match-result split Sporting Cristal 22%, draw 28%, Palmeiras 50%. The final score 2-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Palmeiras) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.