Bahia 1-1 Internacional — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Copa Libertadores, 4 Apr 2025

Bahia
1-1 HT 0-0
Internacional
📅04/04/2025 · 🕒01:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 ✗ 2nd Score 0-1 ✗
Copa Libertadores – 2025

Bahia vs Internacional Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
43%
2.27
Draw
27%
3.11
Away
30%
2.9
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
60%
1.74
Over 2.5
40%
2.0
Both Teams to Score
Yes
42%
1.76
No
58%
1.95
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
34%
2.82
2-3 Goals
41%
1.74
4-5 Goals
17%
3.8
6+ Goals
8%
17.05
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.82 — our 34% vs market 28.5%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
3.46
1/2
6%
34.0
1/X
5%
12.8
X/1
17%
5.33
X/2
13%
6.38
X/X
14%
4.24
2/1
10%
29.0
2/2
11%
4.57
2/X
8%
13.15
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Under 2.5 ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
43%
Home Win
40%
+3.0pp
27%
Draw
29%
-1.9pp
30%
Away Win
31%
-1.1pp
60%
Under 2.5
54%
+6.0pp
40%
Over 2.5
46%
-6.0pp
42%
BTTS Yes
53%
-10.5pp
58%
BTTS No
47%
+10.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Bahia v Internacional — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Bahia EU Bookmakers 44%
Head to Head
AWAY Internacional EU Bookmakers 34%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -5% / -5%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
– / – Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -21% / +12%
49% Ball Possession 51%
13 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
325 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 314 · 77%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 15.1
– Crosses 10.8
– Yellow Cards 1.9

Bahia vs Internacional Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Bahia
1W-1D-4L
AWAY Internacional
0.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
1.16 xG 1.24
52% Ball Possession 48%
12 Total Shots 11
3 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
368 Passes 354
81% Pass Accuracy 80%
18 Box Touches 17
23 Crosses 16
2 Yellow Cards 3
The Meetings
28.07.2024 Bahia Bahia 1-1 HT 1-0 Internacional Internacional BR1
14.04.2024 Internacional Internacional 2-1 HT 0-0 Bahia Bahia BR1
19.10.2023 Bahia Bahia 1-0 HT 1-0 Internacional Internacional BR1
28.05.2023 Internacional Internacional 2-0 HT 0-0 Bahia Bahia BR1
26.09.2021 Internacional Internacional 2-0 HT 1-0 Bahia Bahia BR1
14.06.2021 Bahia Bahia 0-1 HT 0-1 Internacional Internacional BR1

Bahia 1-1 Internacional — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Bahia
1-1
AWAY Internacional
1.50 xG 1.18
60% Ball Possession 40%
21 Total Shots 8
7 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 2
531 Passes 346
90% Pass Accuracy 88%
33 Box Touches 14
18 Crosses 8
1 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Bahia vs Internacional
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Bahia and Internacional shared the points in a 1-1 draw. Half-time: 0-0.

Our pre-match lean was Bahia at 43%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. On goals, under 2.5 goals (60%) landed while no to both teams scoring (58%) missed.

On the day, Bahia had 60% of the ball to Internacional's 40%, shots finished 21-8, expected goals 1.50 to 1.18.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Internacional led the recent series with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for Bahia and 1.33 for Internacional.

What was the final score of Bahia vs Internacional?

Bahia 1-1 Internacional in the Copa Libertadores on 04/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Bahia vs Internacional?

Before kick-off our model rated a Bahia win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Bahia 43%, draw 27%, Internacional 30%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Bahia), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Bahia) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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