Correcaminos UAT 2-0 Atlante — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Mexico - Primera A, 4 Apr 2025

📅04/04/2025 · 🕒04:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
23%
4.65
Draw
28%
3.94
Away
49%
1.6
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
49%
2.15
Over 2.5
51%
1.64
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
1.73
No
54%
1.99
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
27%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
9%
1/2
4%
1/X
13%
X/1
9%
X/2
7%
X/X
10%
2/1
5%
2/2
38%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
23%
Home Win
19%
+4.4pp
28%
Draw
22%
+5.6pp
49%
Away Win
59%
-10.0pp
49%
Under 2.5
43%
+6.6pp
51%
Over 2.5
57%
-6.6pp
46%
BTTS Yes
54%
-7.6pp
54%
BTTS No
46%
+7.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Correcaminos UAT EU Bookmakers 22%
Head to Head
AWAY Atlante EU Bookmakers 62%
+22% / +22% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -21% / -21%
1.75/1.47 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.22/1.12
+62% / +4% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -36% / +17%
46% Ball Possession 54%
11 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 5
349 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 412 · 84%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Correcaminos UAT
2W-0D-4L
AWAY Atlante
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.83
21.10.2024 Atlante Atlante 3-1 HT 1-0 Correcaminos UAT Correcaminos UAT MEK2
12.04.2024 Atlante Atlante 4-0 HT 3-0 Correcaminos UAT Correcaminos UAT MEK2
06.09.2023 Correcaminos UAT Correcaminos UAT 1-0 HT 1-0 Atlante Atlante MEK2
07.04.2023 Atlante Atlante 2-1 HT 0-1 Correcaminos UAT Correcaminos UAT MEK2
08.07.2022 Correcaminos UAT Correcaminos UAT 1-2 HT 1-1 Atlante Atlante MEK2
17.03.2022 Correcaminos UAT Correcaminos UAT 2-0 HT 2-0 Atlante Atlante MEK2
POST-MATCH Correcaminos UAT vs Atlante
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Correcaminos UAT got the better of Atlante 2-0. Half-time: 1-0.

Our pre-match lean was Atlante at 49%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 51% and both teams to score was close to even at 46%.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Atlante led the recent series with 4 wins. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Correcaminos UAT and 1.83 for Atlante.

What was the final score of Correcaminos UAT vs Atlante?

Correcaminos UAT 2-0 Atlante in the Mexico - Primera A on 04/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Correcaminos UAT vs Atlante?

Before kick-off our model rated an Atlante win the most likely single outcome at about 49%, with the full match-result split Correcaminos UAT 23%, draw 28%, Atlante 49%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS No — while Match Result (Atlante), Over 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Atlante) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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