Miedz Legnica 0-2 Gornik Leczna — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Poland - 1st Division, 4 Apr 2025

📅04/04/2025 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 3-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
45%
1.66
Draw
25%
3.72
Away
30%
4.31
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
43%
1.97
Over 2.5
57%
1.75
Both Teams to Score
Yes
56%
1.76
No
44%
1.95
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
22%
3.49
2-3 Goals
36%
1.79
4-5 Goals EV+ ✗
27%
3.19
6+ Goals
15%
11.2
Value flag · 4-5 Goals at 3.19 — our 27% vs market 24.9%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
1/2
7%
1/X
8%
X/1
17%
X/2
7%
X/X
10%
2/1
9%
2/2
16%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
45%
Home Win
56%
-11.2pp
25%
Draw
24%
+1.4pp
30%
Away Win
20%
+9.8pp
43%
Under 2.5
47%
-3.9pp
57%
Over 2.5
53%
+3.9pp
56%
BTTS Yes
53%
+2.8pp
44%
BTTS No
47%
-2.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Miedz Legnica EU Bookmakers 60%
Head to Head
AWAY Gornik Leczna EU Bookmakers 23%
-4% / -12% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +7% / +9%
2.03/1.21 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.09/1.20
+17% / -16% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +7% / +34%
53% Ball Possession 47%
14 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 4
468 · 83% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 276 · 72%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.3 Yellow Cards 2.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Miedz Legnica
2W-3D-1L
AWAY Gornik Leczna
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
49% Ball Possession 51%
12 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 7
2 Yellow Cards 4
15.09.2024 Gornik Leczna Gornik Leczna 1-2 HT 0-2 Miedz Legnica Miedz Legnica POL1
16.02.2024 Gornik Leczna Gornik Leczna 0-0 HT 0-0 Miedz Legnica Miedz Legnica POL1
05.08.2023 Miedz Legnica Miedz Legnica 0-0 HT 0-0 Gornik Leczna Gornik Leczna POL1
03.11.2021 Miedz Legnica Miedz Legnica 2-2 HT 1-0 Gornik Leczna Gornik Leczna POLK
27.04.2021 Miedz Legnica Miedz Legnica 1-0 HT 0-0 Gornik Leczna Gornik Leczna POL1
25.10.2020 Gornik Leczna Gornik Leczna 1-0 HT 0-0 Miedz Legnica Miedz Legnica POL1
POST-MATCH Miedz Legnica vs Gornik Leczna
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Gornik Leczna beat Miedz Legnica 2-0 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match lean was Miedz Legnica at 45%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (57%), both teams to score (56%) — went the other way, though.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Miedz Legnica had the better of it with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Miedz Legnica and 0.67 for Gornik Leczna.

What was the final score of Miedz Legnica vs Gornik Leczna?

Miedz Legnica 0-2 Gornik Leczna in the Poland - 1st Division on 04/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Miedz Legnica vs Gornik Leczna?

Before kick-off our model rated a Miedz Legnica win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split Miedz Legnica 45%, draw 25%, Gornik Leczna 30%. The final score 0-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Miedz Legnica) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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