Chrobry Glogow 3-2 Znicz Pruszkow — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Poland - 1st Division, 4 Apr 2025

📅04/04/2025 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
34%
2.33
Draw
26%
3.11
Away
40%
2.79
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
57%
1.64
Over 2.5
43%
2.15
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
1.9
No
53%
1.81
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
28%
2.52
2-3 Goals
42%
1.73
4-5 Goals
21%
4.31
6+ Goals
9%
22.45
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
1/2
9%
1/X
8%
X/1
12%
X/2
18%
X/X
8%
2/1
7%
2/2
13%
2/X
10%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
34%
Home Win
39%
-4.9pp
26%
Draw
29%
-3.0pp
40%
Away Win
32%
+8.0pp
57%
Under 2.5
57%
-0.6pp
43%
Over 2.5
43%
+0.6pp
47%
BTTS Yes
49%
-1.9pp
53%
BTTS No
51%
+1.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Chrobry Glogow EU Bookmakers 43%
Head to Head
AWAY Znicz Pruszkow EU Bookmakers 36%
+9% / +8% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +11% / +11%
1.55/1.05 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.04/0.98
+11% / +7% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -13% / +37%
50% Ball Possession 50%
11 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 6
312 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 237 · 70%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.4 Yellow Cards 2.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Chrobry Glogow
2W-1D-0L
AWAY Znicz Pruszkow
1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
42% Ball Possession 58%
6 Total Shots 16
3 Shots on Target 4
2 Corners 8
2 Yellow Cards 1
16.09.2024 Znicz Pruszkow Znicz Pruszkow 2-3 HT 1-2 Chrobry Glogow Chrobry Glogow POL1
05.05.2024 Znicz Pruszkow Znicz Pruszkow 1-1 HT 0-1 Chrobry Glogow Chrobry Glogow POL1
06.11.2023 Chrobry Glogow Chrobry Glogow 1-0 HT 0-0 Znicz Pruszkow Znicz Pruszkow POL1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Chrobry Glogow
3-2
AWAY Znicz Pruszkow
47% Ball Possession 53%
10 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 3
2 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Chrobry Glogow vs Znicz Pruszkow
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Chrobry Glogow edged past Znicz Pruszkow 3-2. Half-time: 2-1. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match split (34% / 26% / 40%) promised a tight game; Chrobry Glogow found the edge the numbers couldn't. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (57%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Chrobry Glogow had 47% of the ball to Znicz Pruszkow's 53%, shots finished 10-9.

For context: across their last 3 meetings in our records, Chrobry Glogow had the better of it with 2 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Chrobry Glogow and 1.00 for Znicz Pruszkow.

What was the final score of Chrobry Glogow vs Znicz Pruszkow?

Chrobry Glogow 3-2 Znicz Pruszkow in the Poland - 1st Division on 04/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Chrobry Glogow vs Znicz Pruszkow?

Before kick-off our model rated an Znicz Pruszkow win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Chrobry Glogow 34%, draw 26%, Znicz Pruszkow 40%. The final score 3-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Znicz Pruszkow) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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