Znicz Pruszkow 1-1 Chrobry Glogow — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Poland - 1st Division, 5 May 2024

📅05/05/2024 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
40%
2.0
Draw
28%
3.18
Away
32%
3.44
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
1.71
Over 2.5
47%
2.03
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
1.85
No
53%
1.85
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
29%
2.83
2-3 Goals
41%
1.77
4-5 Goals
20%
4.12
6+ Goals
10%
19.7
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
22%
1/2
7%
1/X
7%
X/1
12%
X/2
10%
X/X
14%
2/1
7%
2/2
15%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
40%
Home Win
46%
-5.9pp
27%
Draw
28%
-0.7pp
32%
Away Win
26%
+6.5pp
52%
Under 2.5
55%
-2.1pp
48%
Over 2.5
45%
+2.1pp
47%
BTTS Yes
50%
-2.6pp
53%
BTTS No
50%
+2.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Znicz Pruszkow EU Bookmakers 50%
Head to Head
AWAY Chrobry Glogow EU Bookmakers 29%
-44% / -44% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +2% / +8%
0.31/0.94 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.11/1.52
-79% / +11% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +1% / -6%
51% Ball Possession 49%
13 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
326 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 297 · 72%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.6 Yellow Cards 2.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Znicz Pruszkow
0W-0D-1L
AWAY Chrobry Glogow
0.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
53% Ball Possession 47%
13 Total Shots 8
2 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
0 Yellow Cards 4
06.11.2023 Chrobry Glogow Chrobry Glogow 1-0 HT 0-0 Znicz Pruszkow Znicz Pruszkow POL1
POST-MATCH Znicz Pruszkow vs Chrobry Glogow
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Znicz Pruszkow and Chrobry Glogow couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match split (40% / 27% / 32%) said coin-flip, and the draw proved it right.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 48% and both teams to score was close to even at 47%.

What was the final score of Znicz Pruszkow vs Chrobry Glogow?

Znicz Pruszkow 1-1 Chrobry Glogow in the Poland - 1st Division on 05/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Znicz Pruszkow vs Chrobry Glogow?

Before kick-off our model rated a Znicz Pruszkow win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Znicz Pruszkow 40%, draw 27%, Chrobry Glogow 32%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Znicz Pruszkow), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Znicz Pruszkow) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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