Wisla Plock 1-0 Motor Lublin — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Poland - 1st Division, 5 May 2024

📅05/05/2024 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
39%
2.12
Draw
29%
3.28
Away
32%
3.02
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
52%
1.86
Over 2.5
48%
1.86
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
1.7
No
47%
2.03
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
3.33
2-3 Goals
42%
1.78
4-5 Goals
24%
3.55
6+ Goals
10%
14.05
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
1/2
9%
1/X
8%
X/1
11%
X/2
10%
X/X
12%
2/1
9%
2/2
13%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
39%
Home Win
43%
-4.8pp
29%
Draw
27%
+2.1pp
32%
Away Win
30%
+2.7pp
52%
Under 2.5
50%
+1.7pp
48%
Over 2.5
50%
-1.7pp
53%
BTTS Yes
55%
-2.1pp
47%
BTTS No
45%
+2.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Wisla Plock EU Bookmakers 47%
Head to Head
AWAY Motor Lublin EU Bookmakers 33%
+15% / +23% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +10% / +10%
1.93/0.89 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.25/1.01
+31% / +17% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +7% / +35%
54% Ball Possession 46%
12 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 4
423 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 250 · 72%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.5 Yellow Cards 1.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Wisla Plock
0W-1D-0L
AWAY Motor Lublin
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
63% Ball Possession 37%
10 Total Shots 7
4 Shots on Target 3
8 Corners 3
2 Yellow Cards 4
05.11.2023 Motor Lublin Motor Lublin 2-2 HT 1-1 Wisla Plock Wisla Plock POL1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Wisla Plock
1-0
AWAY Motor Lublin
53% Ball Possession 47%
8 Total Shots 10
2 Shots on Target 4
1 Corners 2
1 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Wisla Plock vs Motor Lublin
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Wisla Plock squeezed past Motor Lublin 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match split (39% / 29% / 32%) promised a tight game; Wisla Plock found the edge the numbers couldn't.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 48% and both teams to score was close to even at 53%.

On the day, Wisla Plock had 53% of the ball to Motor Lublin's 47%, shots finished 8-10.

What was the final score of Wisla Plock vs Motor Lublin?

Wisla Plock 1-0 Motor Lublin in the Poland - 1st Division on 05/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Wisla Plock vs Motor Lublin?

Before kick-off our model rated a Wisla Plock win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Wisla Plock 39%, draw 29%, Motor Lublin 32%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Wisla Plock), Under 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Wisla Plock) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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