Widzew Lodz 2-0 Lechia Gdansk — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Poland - Ekstraklasa, 4 Apr 2025

Widzew Lodz
2-0 HT 2-0
Lechia Gdansk
📅04/04/2025 · 🕒21:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 ✗ 2nd Score 2-2 ✗
Poland - Ekstraklasa – 2024/2025

Widzew Lodz vs Lechia Gdansk Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
38%
1.96
Draw
28%
3.45
Away
34%
3.25
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
47%
2.0
Over 2.5
53%
1.74
Both Teams to Score
Yes OUR CALL
59%
1.63
No
41%
2.13
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
21%
3.65
2-3 Goals
42%
1.8
4-5 Goals
25%
3.09
6+ Goals
12%
10.35
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
2.73
1/2
9%
34.0
1/X
10%
12.9
X/1
13%
4.9
X/2
13%
7.59
X/X
7%
5.13
2/1
7%
23.3
2/2
13%
5.38
2/X
10%
13.7
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
◎
Our call
BTTS Yes — 59% ✗
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our call is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
STRENGTH Over 2.5 BTTS Yes — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
38%
Home Win
47%
-9.4pp
28%
Draw
26%
+2.2pp
35%
Away Win
27%
+7.3pp
47%
Under 2.5
46%
+0.3pp
53%
Over 2.5
54%
-0.3pp
59%
BTTS Yes
57%
+1.3pp
41%
BTTS No
43%
-1.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Widzew Lodz v Lechia Gdansk — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Widzew Lodz EU Bookmakers 51%
Head to Head
AWAY Lechia Gdansk EU Bookmakers 31%
+1% / -5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +2% / +3%
1.35/1.22 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.15/1.72
-14% / -3% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +9% / -15%
52% Ball Possession 48%
14 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 5
356 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 333 · 78%
21.8 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 19.5
23.1 Crosses 18.4
1.7 Yellow Cards 2.1

Widzew Lodz vs Lechia Gdansk Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Widzew Lodz
2W-2D-2L
AWAY Lechia Gdansk
1.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
2.22 xG 1.14
56% Ball Possession 44%
18 Total Shots 10
8 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 3
407 Passes 314
85% Pass Accuracy 79%
28 Box Touches 17
33 Crosses 18
1 Yellow Cards 3
The Meetings
27.09.2024 Lechia Gdansk Lechia Gdansk 1-1 HT 1-0 Widzew Lodz Widzew Lodz POL
10.02.2023 Lechia Gdansk Lechia Gdansk 0-0 HT 0-0 Widzew Lodz Widzew Lodz POL
31.07.2022 Widzew Lodz Widzew Lodz 2-3 HT 1-2 Lechia Gdansk Lechia Gdansk POL
15.03.2014 Lechia Gdansk Lechia Gdansk 2-0 HT 1-0 Widzew Lodz Widzew Lodz POL
11.01.2014 Lechia Gdansk Lechia Gdansk 1-4 HT 1-2 Widzew Lodz Widzew Lodz HAZ
06.10.2013 Widzew Lodz Widzew Lodz 4-1 HT 2-1 Lechia Gdansk Lechia Gdansk POL

Widzew Lodz 2-0 Lechia Gdansk — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Widzew Lodz
2-0
AWAY Lechia Gdansk
2.20 xG 0.55
55% Ball Possession 45%
11 Total Shots 6
5 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 5
352 Passes 270
83% Pass Accuracy 79%
33 Box Touches 13
12 Crosses 19
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Widzew Lodz vs Lechia Gdansk
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Widzew Lodz saw off Lechia Gdansk 2-0.

Our pre-match split (38% / 28% / 35%) promised a tight game; Widzew Lodz found the edge the numbers couldn't. The goals read — both teams to score (59%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Widzew Lodz had 55% of the ball to Lechia Gdansk's 45%, shots finished 11-6, expected goals 2.20 to 0.55.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.83 goals for Widzew Lodz and 1.33 for Lechia Gdansk.

What was the final score of Widzew Lodz vs Lechia Gdansk?

Widzew Lodz 2-0 Lechia Gdansk in the Poland - Ekstraklasa on 04/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Widzew Lodz vs Lechia Gdansk?

Before kick-off our model rated a Widzew Lodz win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Widzew Lodz 38%, draw 28%, Lechia Gdansk 35%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Widzew Lodz) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Widzew Lodz) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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