Liaoning Shenyang 2-1 Beijing Guoan — Result, Statistics & Match Review — China Halk Cumhuriyeti - Super League, 4 Apr 2026

📅04/04/2026 · 🕒10:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
37%
2.84
Draw
22%
3.54
Away
41%
2.11
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
43%
2.21
Over 2.5
57%
1.6
Both Teams to Score
Yes
58%
1.55
No
42%
2.29
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
23%
4.11
2-3 Goals
42%
1.81
4-5 Goals
23%
2.8
6+ Goals
12%
8.15
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
4.42
1/2
7%
22.25
1/X
7%
13.0
X/1
12%
6.78
X/2
11%
5.16
X/X
8%
5.41
2/1 EV+ ✗
8%
28.0
2/2
23%
2.91
2/X
7%
12.55
Value flag · 2/1 at 28.0 — our 8% vs market 1.6%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
37%
Home Win
32%
+5.1pp
22%
Draw
25%
-2.4pp
41%
Away Win
44%
-2.7pp
43%
Under 2.5
41%
+1.6pp
57%
Over 2.5
59%
-1.6pp
58%
BTTS Yes
60%
-2.7pp
42%
BTTS No
40%
+2.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Liaoning Shenyang EU Bookmakers 35%
Head to Head
AWAY Beijing Guoan EU Bookmakers 48%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -5% / -5%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +3% / -24%
45% Ball Possession 55%
12 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 5
284 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 352 · 79%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 23.1
Crosses 18.6
Yellow Cards 2.1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Liaoning Shenyang
2-1
AWAY Beijing Guoan
2.68 xG 0.88
42% Ball Possession 58%
13 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
3 Corners 1
247 Passes 350
71% Pass Accuracy 75%
28 Box Touches 24
12 Crosses 19
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Liaoning Shenyang vs Beijing Guoan
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Liaoning Shenyang squeezed past Beijing Guoan 2-1. Half-time: 2-0.

We called this one close before kick-off — 37% / 22% / 41% — and on the day Liaoning Shenyang made the difference. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (57%), both teams to score (58%) came in.

On the day, Liaoning Shenyang had 42% of the ball to Beijing Guoan's 58%, shots finished 13-11, expected goals 2.68 to 0.88 — an xG gap that size says the one-goal margin undersold Liaoning Shenyang's control.

What was the final score of Liaoning Shenyang vs Beijing Guoan?

Liaoning Shenyang 2-1 Beijing Guoan in the China Halk Cumhuriyeti - Super League on 04/04/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Liaoning Shenyang vs Beijing Guoan?

Before kick-off our model rated an Beijing Guoan win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Liaoning Shenyang 37%, draw 22%, Beijing Guoan 41%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Beijing Guoan) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Beijing Guoan) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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