Shandong Taishan 1-2 Dalian Zhixing — Result, Statistics & Match Review — China Halk Cumhuriyeti - Super League, 4 Apr 2026

📅04/04/2026 · 🕒14:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
55%
1.86
Draw
22%
3.64
Away
23%
3.44
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
35%
2.23
Over 2.5
65%
1.59
Both Teams to Score
Yes
59%
1.55
No
41%
2.29
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
19%
4.32
2-3 Goals
37%
1.84
4-5 Goals EV+ ✗
32%
2.73
6+ Goals
12%
7.57
Value flag · 4-5 Goals at 2.73 — our 32% vs market 29.3%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
30%
2.45
1/2
6%
32.5
1/X
9%
12.55
X/1
16%
4.78
X/2
9%
8.11
X/X
7%
5.58
2/1 EV+ ✗
8%
20.9
2/2
9%
5.54
2/X
6%
13.45
Value flag · 2/1 at 20.9 — our 8% vs market 2.5%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
55%
Home Win
50%
+4.8pp
22%
Draw
24%
-2.6pp
24%
Away Win
26%
-2.2pp
35%
Under 2.5
41%
-6.2pp
65%
Over 2.5
59%
+6.2pp
59%
BTTS Yes
60%
-1.3pp
41%
BTTS No
40%
+1.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Shandong Taishan EU Bookmakers 54%
Head to Head
AWAY Dalian Zhixing EU Bookmakers 29%
+17% / +17% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -8% / -8%
2.40/1.38 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.21/2.13
+42% / +17% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +38% / -22%
51% Ball Possession 49%
14 Total Shots 13
6 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 6
314 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 312 · 78%
38.5 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 28.7
27.2 Crosses 16.4
1.1 Yellow Cards 2.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Shandong Taishan
1W-0D-1L
AWAY Dalian Zhixing
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
1.77 xG 0.81
59% Ball Possession 41%
16 Total Shots 10
8 Shots on Target 6
6 Corners 6
410 Passes 250
84% Pass Accuracy 74%
39 Box Touches 16
26 Crosses 14
2 Yellow Cards 2
19.07.2025 Dalian Zhixing Dalian Zhixing 2-0 HT 1-0 Shandong Taishan Shandong Taishan ÇİNSL
28.02.2025 Shandong Taishan Shandong Taishan 4-1 HT 1-1 Dalian Zhixing Dalian Zhixing ÇİNSL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Shandong Taishan
1-2
AWAY Dalian Zhixing
1.93 xG 1.31
71% Ball Possession 29%
18 Total Shots 7
6 Shots on Target 5
7 Corners 6
460 Passes 148
84% Pass Accuracy 64%
24 Box Touches 9
28 Crosses 9
4 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Shandong Taishan vs Dalian Zhixing
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Dalian Zhixing nicked a narrow win over Shandong Taishan 2-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

This one beat our numbers. Shandong Taishan carried 55% before kick-off and it didn't land — a reminder that even strong leads lose regularly. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (65%), both teams to score (59%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, Shandong Taishan had 71% of the ball to Dalian Zhixing's 29%, shots finished 18-7, expected goals 1.93 to 1.31 — on chances, Shandong Taishan could feel hard done by.

Coming into the game, across their last 2 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for Shandong Taishan and 1.50 for Dalian Zhixing.

What was the final score of Shandong Taishan vs Dalian Zhixing?

Shandong Taishan 1-2 Dalian Zhixing in the China Halk Cumhuriyeti - Super League on 04/04/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Shandong Taishan vs Dalian Zhixing?

Before kick-off our model rated a Shandong Taishan win the most likely single outcome at about 55%, with the full match-result split Shandong Taishan 55%, draw 22%, Dalian Zhixing 24%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Shandong Taishan) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Shandong Taishan) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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