Qingdao Jonoon 1-0 Henan Jianye — Result, Statistics & Match Review — China Halk Cumhuriyeti - Super League, 4 Apr 2026

📅04/04/2026 · 🕒10:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
31%
3.75
Draw
23%
3.64
Away
46%
1.77
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
42%
2.18
Over 2.5
58%
1.62
Both Teams to Score
Yes
56%
1.61
No
44%
2.16
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
23%
4.05
2-3 Goals
40%
1.8
4-5 Goals
26%
2.82
6+ Goals
11%
8.34
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
14%
6.36
1/2
5%
21.15
1/X
3%
14.0
X/1
11%
8.85
X/2
14%
4.57
X/X
13%
5.48
2/1 EV+ ✗
7%
34.0
2/2
27%
2.28
2/X
6%
12.85
Value flag · 2/1 at 34.0 — our 7% vs market 1.1%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
31%
Home Win
23%
+8.0pp
23%
Draw
24%
-1.7pp
46%
Away Win
52%
-6.4pp
42%
Under 2.5
42%
+0.4pp
57%
Over 2.5
58%
-0.4pp
56%
BTTS Yes
58%
-2.0pp
44%
BTTS No
42%
+2.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Qingdao Jonoon EU Bookmakers 27%
Head to Head
AWAY Henan Jianye EU Bookmakers 56%
+0% / -3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +8% / +8%
1.72/1.74 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.72/1.54
+3% / -22% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -15% / +62%
50% Ball Possession 50%
13 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 4
323 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 322 · 79%
22.5 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 28.9
18.5 Crosses 24.1
3.1 Yellow Cards 2.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Qingdao Jonoon
2W-1D-3L
AWAY Henan Jianye
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
1.26 xG 1.64
53% Ball Possession 47%
14 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 6
305 Passes 262
78% Pass Accuracy 75%
21 Box Touches 22
19 Crosses 19
1 Yellow Cards 3
29.08.2025 Qingdao Jonoon Qingdao Jonoon 1-1 HT 1-0 Henan Jianye Henan Jianye ÇİNSL
02.08.2025 Qingdao Jonoon Qingdao Jonoon 2-1 HT 2-1 Henan Jianye Henan Jianye ÇİNSL
20.04.2025 Henan Jianye Henan Jianye 3-1 HT 0-1 Qingdao Jonoon Qingdao Jonoon ÇİNSL
01.04.2025 Henan Jianye Henan Jianye 2-3 HT 1-0 Qingdao Jonoon Qingdao Jonoon ÇİNSL
10.08.2024 Qingdao Jonoon Qingdao Jonoon 0-2 HT 0-0 Henan Jianye Henan Jianye ÇİNSL
25.06.2024 Henan Jianye Henan Jianye 1-0 HT 0-0 Qingdao Jonoon Qingdao Jonoon ÇİNSL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Qingdao Jonoon
1-0
AWAY Henan Jianye
0.70 xG 1.20
42% Ball Possession 58%
7 Total Shots 18
3 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 9
239 Passes 337
71% Pass Accuracy 77%
18 Box Touches 32
14 Crosses 36
1 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Qingdao Jonoon vs Henan Jianye
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Qingdao Jonoon nicked a narrow win over Henan Jianye 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match lean was Henan Jianye at 46%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (57%), both teams to score (56%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Qingdao Jonoon had 42% of the ball to Henan Jianye's 58%, shots finished 7-18, expected goals 0.70 to 1.20 — the balance of chances actually favoured Henan Jianye.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Henan Jianye led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Qingdao Jonoon and 1.67 for Henan Jianye.

What was the final score of Qingdao Jonoon vs Henan Jianye?

Qingdao Jonoon 1-0 Henan Jianye in the China Halk Cumhuriyeti - Super League on 04/04/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Qingdao Jonoon vs Henan Jianye?

Before kick-off our model rated an Henan Jianye win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split Qingdao Jonoon 31%, draw 23%, Henan Jianye 46%. The final score 1-0 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Henan Jianye) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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