Qingdao Jonoon 1-1 Henan Jianye — Result, Statistics & Match Review — China Halk Cumhuriyeti - Super League, 29 Aug 2025

📅29/08/2025 · 🕒14:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
27%
3.87
Draw
19%
4.19
Away
54%
1.62
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
51%
2.61
Over 2.5
49%
1.45
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.49
No
48%
2.44
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
25%
5.44
2-3 Goals
46%
1.98
4-5 Goals
19%
2.46
6+ Goals
10%
5.47
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 5.44 — our 25% vs market 12.6%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
14%
6.57
1/2
4%
17.95
1/X
4%
15.7
X/1
8%
9.68
X/2
13%
4.38
X/X
8%
7.11
2/1
5%
34.5
2/2
37%
2.01
2/X
7%
14.6
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
27%
Home Win
22%
+4.5pp
19%
Draw
20%
-1.4pp
54%
Away Win
57%
-3.0pp
51%
Under 2.5
35%
+16.5pp
49%
Over 2.5
65%
-16.5pp
52%
BTTS Yes
63%
-11.2pp
48%
BTTS No
37%
+11.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Qingdao Jonoon EU Bookmakers 26%
Head to Head
AWAY Henan Jianye EU Bookmakers 62%
-2% / -2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -14% / -14%
1.76/1.75 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.52/0.62
+25% / -12% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -78% / +150%
44% Ball Possession 56%
12 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 6
291 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 419 · 82%
21.9 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 27.0
18.0 Crosses 28.6
2.9 Yellow Cards 2.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Qingdao Jonoon
2W-0D-4L
AWAY Henan Jianye
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
1.04 xG 1.64
51% Ball Possession 49%
12 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 7
288 Passes 273
77% Pass Accuracy 76%
19 Box Touches 23
18 Crosses 20
1 Yellow Cards 3
02.08.2025 Qingdao Jonoon Qingdao Jonoon 2-1 HT 2-1 Henan Jianye Henan Jianye ÇİNSL
20.04.2025 Henan Jianye Henan Jianye 3-1 HT 0-1 Qingdao Jonoon Qingdao Jonoon ÇİNSL
01.04.2025 Henan Jianye Henan Jianye 2-3 HT 1-0 Qingdao Jonoon Qingdao Jonoon ÇİNSL
10.08.2024 Qingdao Jonoon Qingdao Jonoon 0-2 HT 0-0 Henan Jianye Henan Jianye ÇİNSL
25.06.2024 Henan Jianye Henan Jianye 1-0 HT 0-0 Qingdao Jonoon Qingdao Jonoon ÇİNSL
21.04.2024 Henan Jianye Henan Jianye 1-0 HT 0-0 Qingdao Jonoon Qingdao Jonoon ÇİN
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Qingdao Jonoon
1-1
AWAY Henan Jianye
2.44 xG 1.57
57% Ball Possession 43%
23 Total Shots 13
5 Shots on Target 6
9 Corners 9
329 Passes 220
79% Pass Accuracy 70%
34 Box Touches 23
24 Crosses 20
3 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Qingdao Jonoon vs Henan Jianye
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Qingdao Jonoon and Henan Jianye couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

Our pre-match lean was Henan Jianye at 54%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 49% and both teams to score was close to even at 52%.

On the day, Qingdao Jonoon had 57% of the ball to Henan Jianye's 43%, shots finished 23-13, expected goals 2.44 to 1.57.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Henan Jianye led the recent series with 4 wins. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Qingdao Jonoon and 1.67 for Henan Jianye.

What was the final score of Qingdao Jonoon vs Henan Jianye?

Qingdao Jonoon 1-1 Henan Jianye in the China Halk Cumhuriyeti - Super League on 29/08/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Qingdao Jonoon vs Henan Jianye?

Before kick-off our model rated an Henan Jianye win the most likely single outcome at about 54%, with the full match-result split Qingdao Jonoon 27%, draw 19%, Henan Jianye 54%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Henan Jianye) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Henan Jianye) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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