Henan Jianye 1-0 Qingdao Jonoon — Result, Statistics & Match Review — China Halk Cumhuriyeti - Super League, 25 Jun 2024

📅25/06/2024 · 🕒14:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 3-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
57%
1.33
Draw
26%
4.81
Away
17%
6.69
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
45%
2.51
Over 2.5
55%
1.48
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.75
No
49%
1.96
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
22%
5.4
2-3 Goals
37%
2.0
4-5 Goals
26%
2.68
6+ Goals
15%
6.55
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
31%
1.58
1/2
5%
34.5
1/X
5%
20.0
X/1
21%
3.63
X/2
5%
16.6
X/X
12%
7.87
2/1
5%
20.45
2/2
7%
12.05
2/X EV+ ✗
9%
20.05
Value flag · 2/X at 20.05 — our 9% vs market 2.4%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
57%
Home Win
71%
-13.7pp
26%
Draw
18%
+9.0pp
17%
Away Win
12%
+4.7pp
45%
Under 2.5
36%
+9.0pp
55%
Over 2.5
64%
-9.0pp
51%
BTTS Yes
53%
-2.0pp
49%
BTTS No
47%
+2.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Henan Jianye EU Bookmakers 75%
Head to Head
AWAY Qingdao Jonoon EU Bookmakers 15%
+13% / +13% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +2% / +2%
3.00/1.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.52/2.95
+4% / -31% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -34% / -13%
58% Ball Possession 42%
16 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
416 · 83% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 270 · 75%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 9.8
Crosses 11.3
Yellow Cards 1.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Henan Jianye
1W-2D-1L
AWAY Qingdao Jonoon
0.50 Avg Goals (FT) 0.75
0.89 xG 1.52
53% Ball Possession 47%
10 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
316 Passes 273
78% Pass Accuracy 76%
21 Box Touches 25
21 Crosses 20
2 Yellow Cards 2
21.04.2024 Henan Jianye Henan Jianye 1-0 HT 0-0 Qingdao Jonoon Qingdao Jonoon ÇİN
01.03.2024 Qingdao Jonoon Qingdao Jonoon 1-1 HT 0-1 Henan Jianye Henan Jianye ÇİNSL
17.07.2023 Qingdao Jonoon Qingdao Jonoon 2-0 HT 1-0 Henan Jianye Henan Jianye ÇİNSL
21.04.2023 Henan Jianye Henan Jianye 0-0 HT 0-0 Qingdao Jonoon Qingdao Jonoon ÇİN
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Henan Jianye
1-0
AWAY Qingdao Jonoon
1.30 xG 0.25
54% Ball Possession 46%
15 Total Shots 7
3 Shots on Target 1
8 Corners 3
304 Passes 253
77% Pass Accuracy 74%
26 Box Touches 8
23 Crosses 12
2 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH Henan Jianye vs Qingdao Jonoon
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Henan Jianye squeezed past Qingdao Jonoon 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Henan Jianye as the likeliest winner at 57%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (55%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Henan Jianye had 54% of the ball to Qingdao Jonoon's 46%, shots finished 15-7, expected goals 1.30 to 0.25.

Coming into the game, across their last 4 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for Henan Jianye and 0.75 for Qingdao Jonoon.

What was the final score of Henan Jianye vs Qingdao Jonoon?

Henan Jianye 1-0 Qingdao Jonoon in the China Halk Cumhuriyeti - Super League on 25/06/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Henan Jianye vs Qingdao Jonoon?

Before kick-off our model rated a Henan Jianye win the most likely single outcome at about 57%, with the full match-result split Henan Jianye 57%, draw 26%, Qingdao Jonoon 17%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Henan Jianye) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Henan Jianye) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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