Shenzhen FC 3-2 Zhejiang G. FC — Result, Statistics & Match Review — China Halk Cumhuriyeti - Super League, 25 Jun 2024

📅25/06/2024 · 🕒14:35 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
27%
2.94
Draw
22%
3.45
Away
51%
2.11
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
42%
2.23
Over 2.5
58%
1.59
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.5
No
48%
2.4
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
23%
4.7
2-3 Goals
40%
1.91
4-5 Goals
26%
2.85
6+ Goals
11%
7.93
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
10%
4.42
1/2
5%
22.7
1/X
6%
12.5
X/1
13%
6.99
X/2 EV+ ✗
20%
5.12
X/X
7%
5.35
2/1
4%
29.5
2/2
25%
2.86
2/X
10%
12.25
Value flag · X/2 at 5.12 — our 20% vs market 15.0%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
27%
Home Win
31%
-3.7pp
22%
Draw
26%
-3.6pp
51%
Away Win
44%
+7.3pp
42%
Under 2.5
41%
+1.1pp
58%
Over 2.5
59%
-1.1pp
52%
BTTS Yes
62%
-10.7pp
48%
BTTS No
38%
+10.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Shenzhen FC EU Bookmakers 34%
Head to Head
AWAY Zhejiang G. FC EU Bookmakers 48%
-27% / -27% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -54% / -54%
1.68/1.34 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.79/2.48
-53% / -62% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -46% / -49%
48% Ball Possession 52%
12 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 5
302 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 352 · 82%
19.6 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 34.0
19.2 Crosses 28.0
2.1 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Shenzhen FC
1W-0D-4L
AWAY Zhejiang G. FC
0.40 Avg Goals (FT) 2.20
0.61 xG 2.01
38% Ball Possession 62%
9 Total Shots 14
2 Shots on Target 7
4 Corners 6
225 Passes 430
75% Pass Accuracy 86%
15 Box Touches 25
12 Crosses 22
1 Yellow Cards 3
03.03.2024 Zhejiang G. FC Zhejiang G. FC 1-0 HT 1-0 Shenzhen FC Shenzhen FC ÇİNSL
24.09.2023 Shenzhen FC Shenzhen FC 0-5 HT 0-3 Zhejiang G. FC Zhejiang G. FC ÇİNSL
02.06.2023 Zhejiang G. FC Zhejiang G. FC 3-0 HT 0-0 Shenzhen FC Shenzhen FC ÇİN
03.11.2022 Zhejiang G. FC Zhejiang G. FC 0-2 HT 0-2 Shenzhen FC Shenzhen FC ÇİN
05.08.2022 Shenzhen FC Shenzhen FC 0-2 HT 0-0 Zhejiang G. FC Zhejiang G. FC ÇİN
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Shenzhen FC
3-2
AWAY Zhejiang G. FC
1.87 xG 3.15
44% Ball Possession 56%
15 Total Shots 19
6 Shots on Target 12
4 Corners 6
263 Passes 355
82% Pass Accuracy 84%
31 Box Touches 30
19 Crosses 18
2 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Shenzhen FC vs Zhejiang G. FC
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Shenzhen FC squeezed past Zhejiang G. FC 3-2. It was 0-1 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match lean was Zhejiang G. FC at 51%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (58%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Shenzhen FC had 44% of the ball to Zhejiang G. FC's 56%, shots finished 15-19, expected goals 1.87 to 3.15 — on chances, Zhejiang G. FC could feel hard done by.

For context: across their last 5 meetings in our records, Zhejiang G. FC led the recent series with 4 wins. Those games averaged 0.40 goals for Shenzhen FC and 2.20 for Zhejiang G. FC.

What was the final score of Shenzhen FC vs Zhejiang G. FC?

Shenzhen FC 3-2 Zhejiang G. FC in the China Halk Cumhuriyeti - Super League on 25/06/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Shenzhen FC vs Zhejiang G. FC?

Before kick-off our model rated an Zhejiang G. FC win the most likely single outcome at about 51%, with the full match-result split Shenzhen FC 27%, draw 22%, Zhejiang G. FC 51%. The final score 3-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Zhejiang G. FC) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Zhejiang G. FC) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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