Henan Jianye 3-1 Qingdao Jonoon — Result, Statistics & Match Review — China Halk Cumhuriyeti - Super League, 20 Apr 2025

📅20/04/2025 · 🕒13:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
53%
1.53
Draw
23%
3.94
Away
24%
5.11
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
51%
1.86
Over 2.5
49%
1.86
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
1.99
No
55%
1.73
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
27%
3.1
2-3 Goals
40%
1.75
4-5 Goals
22%
3.49
6+ Goals
11%
14.0
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.1 — our 27% vs market 25.6%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
30%
1.94
1/2
6%
35.0
1/X
7%
17.05
X/1
16%
3.87
X/2
6%
11.65
X/X
6%
5.53
2/1
7%
23.75
2/2
12%
10.1
2/X
10%
19.3
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
53%
Home Win
61%
-8.2pp
23%
Draw
22%
+0.9pp
24%
Away Win
17%
+7.2pp
51%
Under 2.5
50%
+0.9pp
49%
Over 2.5
50%
-1.0pp
45%
BTTS Yes
46%
-1.5pp
55%
BTTS No
54%
+1.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Henan Jianye EU Bookmakers 66%
Head to Head
AWAY Qingdao Jonoon EU Bookmakers 20%
-30% / -30% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +3% / +3%
0.96/1.61 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.01/1.66
-87% / -41% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +1% / +22%
55% Ball Possession 45%
16 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 3
372 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 289 · 77%
30.3 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 18.1
21.6 Crosses 17.5
0.6 Yellow Cards 2.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Henan Jianye
3W-1D-2L
AWAY Qingdao Jonoon
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
1.24 xG 1.15
50% Ball Possession 50%
11 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
299 Passes 295
78% Pass Accuracy 78%
20 Box Touches 23
18 Crosses 20
2 Yellow Cards 1
01.04.2025 Henan Jianye Henan Jianye 2-3 HT 1-0 Qingdao Jonoon Qingdao Jonoon ÇİNSL
10.08.2024 Qingdao Jonoon Qingdao Jonoon 0-2 HT 0-0 Henan Jianye Henan Jianye ÇİNSL
25.06.2024 Henan Jianye Henan Jianye 1-0 HT 0-0 Qingdao Jonoon Qingdao Jonoon ÇİNSL
21.04.2024 Henan Jianye Henan Jianye 1-0 HT 0-0 Qingdao Jonoon Qingdao Jonoon ÇİN
01.03.2024 Qingdao Jonoon Qingdao Jonoon 1-1 HT 0-1 Henan Jianye Henan Jianye ÇİNSL
17.07.2023 Qingdao Jonoon Qingdao Jonoon 2-0 HT 1-0 Henan Jianye Henan Jianye ÇİNSL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Henan Jianye
3-1
AWAY Qingdao Jonoon
1.65 xG 0.15
54% Ball Possession 46%
11 Total Shots 4
3 Shots on Target 1
5 Corners 1
310 Passes 260
77% Pass Accuracy 73%
15 Box Touches 7
21 Crosses 7
4 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Henan Jianye vs Qingdao Jonoon
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Henan Jianye beat Qingdao Jonoon 3-1. It was 0-1 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Henan Jianye as the likeliest winner at 53%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — no to both teams scoring (55%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Henan Jianye had 54% of the ball to Qingdao Jonoon's 46%, shots finished 11-4, expected goals 1.65 to 0.15.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Henan Jianye had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Henan Jianye and 1.00 for Qingdao Jonoon.

What was the final score of Henan Jianye vs Qingdao Jonoon?

Henan Jianye 3-1 Qingdao Jonoon in the China Halk Cumhuriyeti - Super League on 20/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Henan Jianye vs Qingdao Jonoon?

Before kick-off our model rated a Henan Jianye win the most likely single outcome at about 53%, with the full match-result split Henan Jianye 53%, draw 23%, Qingdao Jonoon 24%. The final score 3-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Henan Jianye) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Henan Jianye) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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