Shanghai Port 1-3 Chengdu Qianbao — Result, Statistics & Match Review — China Halk Cumhuriyeti - Super League, 20 Apr 2025

📅20/04/2025 · 🕒14:35 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
34%
2.67
Draw
23%
3.45
Away
43%
2.24
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
41%
2.18
Over 2.5
59%
1.62
Both Teams to Score
Yes
57%
1.55
No
43%
2.29
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
19%
4.07
2-3 Goals
42%
1.84
4-5 Goals
28%
2.9
6+ Goals
11%
8.65
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
4.13
1/2 EV+ ✗
7%
24.2
1/X
7%
12.85
X/1
11%
6.49
X/2
16%
5.56
X/X
11%
5.34
2/1
5%
27.5
2/2
21%
3.26
2/X
5%
12.6
Value flag · 1/2 at 24.2 — our 7% vs market 2.1%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
34%
Home Win
34%
+0.0pp
23%
Draw
26%
-2.5pp
43%
Away Win
41%
+2.6pp
41%
Under 2.5
42%
-1.3pp
59%
Over 2.5
58%
+1.3pp
57%
BTTS Yes
60%
-3.6pp
43%
BTTS No
40%
+3.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Shanghai Port EU Bookmakers 37%
Head to Head
AWAY Chengdu Qianbao EU Bookmakers 45%
-47% / -47% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +17% / +17%
1.17/1.20 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.03/1.25
-33% / -35% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +63% / +22%
46% Ball Possession 54%
12 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 6
288 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 360 · 81%
18.5 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 32.0
23.5 Crosses 24.9
2.5 Yellow Cards 1.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Shanghai Port
2W-1D-3L
AWAY Chengdu Qianbao
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
1.01 xG 1.60
60% Ball Possession 40%
12 Total Shots 14
3 Shots on Target 6
8 Corners 5
399 Passes 240
84% Pass Accuracy 74%
26 Box Touches 22
25 Crosses 14
1 Yellow Cards 4
18.10.2024 Chengdu Qianbao Chengdu Qianbao 3-1 HT 3-1 Shanghai Port Shanghai Port ÇİNSL
22.05.2024 Shanghai Port Shanghai Port 2-0 HT 0-0 Chengdu Qianbao Chengdu Qianbao ÇİNSL
23.09.2023 Chengdu Qianbao Chengdu Qianbao 2-1 HT 1-0 Shanghai Port Shanghai Port ÇİNSL
03.06.2023 Shanghai Port Shanghai Port 0-1 HT 0-0 Chengdu Qianbao Chengdu Qianbao ÇİN
05.01.2023 Shanghai Port Shanghai Port 4-0 HT 1-0 Chengdu Qianbao Chengdu Qianbao ÇİNK
10.12.2022 Chengdu Qianbao Chengdu Qianbao 0-0 HT 0-0 Shanghai Port Shanghai Port ÇİN
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Shanghai Port
1-3
AWAY Chengdu Qianbao
2.25 xG 1.73
66% Ball Possession 34%
15 Total Shots 15
8 Shots on Target 7
4 Corners 2
447 Passes 202
87% Pass Accuracy 76%
23 Box Touches 25
18 Crosses 10
5 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Shanghai Port vs Chengdu Qianbao
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Chengdu Qianbao got the better of Shanghai Port 3-1 away from home. Half-time: 1-2.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Chengdu Qianbao as the likeliest winner at 43%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (59%), both teams to score (57%) came in.

On the day, Shanghai Port had 66% of the ball to Chengdu Qianbao's 34%, shots finished 15-15, expected goals 2.25 to 1.73 — the balance of chances actually favoured Shanghai Port.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Chengdu Qianbao led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Shanghai Port and 1.00 for Chengdu Qianbao.

What was the final score of Shanghai Port vs Chengdu Qianbao?

Shanghai Port 1-3 Chengdu Qianbao in the China Halk Cumhuriyeti - Super League on 20/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Shanghai Port vs Chengdu Qianbao?

Before kick-off our model rated an Chengdu Qianbao win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Shanghai Port 34%, draw 23%, Chengdu Qianbao 43%. The final score 1-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Chengdu Qianbao), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Chengdu Qianbao) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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