Meizhou Hakka 3-0 Shenzhen FC — Result, Statistics & Match Review — China Halk Cumhuriyeti - Super League, 20 Apr 2025

📅20/04/2025 · 🕒14:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
43%
2.02
Draw
29%
3.28
Away
28%
3.25
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
54%
1.82
Over 2.5
46%
1.9
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
1.75
No
54%
1.96
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
32%
3.05
2-3 Goals
39%
1.75
4-5 Goals
19%
3.55
6+ Goals
10%
14.5
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.05 — our 32% vs market 26.1%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
2.91
1/2
5%
35.0
1/X
4%
13.1
X/1
14%
4.87
X/2
7%
7.21
X/X
22%
4.6
2/1
9%
26.0
2/2
15%
5.35
2/X
4%
13.85
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
43%
Home Win
46%
-2.4pp
29%
Draw
27%
+2.1pp
28%
Away Win
27%
+0.2pp
54%
Under 2.5
51%
+3.3pp
46%
Over 2.5
49%
-3.3pp
46%
BTTS Yes
53%
-7.4pp
54%
BTTS No
47%
+7.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Meizhou Hakka EU Bookmakers 50%
Head to Head
AWAY Shenzhen FC EU Bookmakers 31%
-1% / -1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -29% / -29%
1.69/0.78 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.00/1.57
-8% / -31% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -53% / -31%
51% Ball Possession 49%
12 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
318 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 304 · 77%
24.1 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 17.4
25.8 Crosses 17.9
2.8 Yellow Cards 1.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Meizhou Hakka
3W-2D-1L
AWAY Shenzhen FC
1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 0.83
1.39 xG 0.96
51% Ball Possession 49%
13 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 3
318 Passes 299
80% Pass Accuracy 78%
23 Box Touches 14
20 Crosses 14
2 Yellow Cards 3
20.10.2024 Shenzhen FC Shenzhen FC 0-0 HT 0-0 Meizhou Hakka Meizhou Hakka ÇİNSL
21.05.2024 Meizhou Hakka Meizhou Hakka 0-0 HT 0-0 Shenzhen FC Shenzhen FC ÇİNSL
16.09.2023 Meizhou Hakka Meizhou Hakka 5-1 HT 2-0 Shenzhen FC Shenzhen FC ÇİN
28.05.2023 Shenzhen FC Shenzhen FC 3-2 HT 0-2 Meizhou Hakka Meizhou Hakka ÇİN
03.07.2022 Meizhou Hakka Meizhou Hakka 1-0 HT 0-0 Shenzhen FC Shenzhen FC ÇİN
13.06.2022 Shenzhen FC Shenzhen FC 1-2 HT 0-1 Meizhou Hakka Meizhou Hakka ÇİN
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Meizhou Hakka
3-0
AWAY Shenzhen FC
1.96 xG 0.57
63% Ball Possession 37%
15 Total Shots 4
5 Shots on Target 0
9 Corners 2
442 Passes 226
87% Pass Accuracy 77%
37 Box Touches 7
19 Crosses 9
1 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH Meizhou Hakka vs Shenzhen FC
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Meizhou Hakka cruised past Shenzhen FC 3-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Meizhou Hakka as the likeliest winner at 43%, and the 3-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 46% and both teams to score was close to even at 46%.

On the day, Meizhou Hakka had 63% of the ball to Shenzhen FC's 37%, shots finished 15-4, expected goals 1.96 to 0.57.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Meizhou Hakka had the better of it with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Meizhou Hakka and 0.83 for Shenzhen FC.

What was the final score of Meizhou Hakka vs Shenzhen FC?

Meizhou Hakka 3-0 Shenzhen FC in the China Halk Cumhuriyeti - Super League on 20/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Meizhou Hakka vs Shenzhen FC?

Before kick-off our model rated a Meizhou Hakka win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Meizhou Hakka 43%, draw 29%, Shenzhen FC 28%. The final score 3-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Meizhou Hakka), BTTS No — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Meizhou Hakka) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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