Henan Jianye 2-3 Qingdao Jonoon — Result, Statistics & Match Review — China Halk Cumhuriyeti - Super League, 1 Apr 2025

📅01/04/2025 · 🕒14:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
42%
1.92
Draw
25%
3.45
Away
33%
3.34
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
58%
1.97
Over 2.5
42%
1.75
Both Teams to Score
Yes
41%
1.68
No
59%
2.06
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
30%
3.48
2-3 Goals
42%
1.79
4-5 Goals
20%
3.19
6+ Goals
8%
11.25
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.48 — our 30% vs market 22.5%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
2.67
1/2
5%
35.0
1/X
5%
13.4
X/1
14%
4.73
X/2
9%
7.66
X/X
15%
5.12
2/1
9%
23.3
2/2
19%
5.6
2/X
5%
14.25
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
42%
Home Win
48%
-5.8pp
25%
Draw
26%
-0.2pp
32%
Away Win
26%
+6.0pp
58%
Under 2.5
47%
+10.7pp
42%
Over 2.5
53%
-10.7pp
41%
BTTS Yes
56%
-14.5pp
59%
BTTS No
44%
+14.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Henan Jianye EU Bookmakers 52%
Head to Head
AWAY Qingdao Jonoon EU Bookmakers 30%
+4% / +4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +5% / +8%
0.79/1.51 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.39/1.54
-27% / +11% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +47% / +4%
51% Ball Possession 49%
13 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
312 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 281 · 76%
20.7 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 18.9
20.1 Crosses 16.6
1.8 Yellow Cards 2.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Henan Jianye
3W-2D-1L
AWAY Qingdao Jonoon
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 0.50
1.10 xG 1.23
52% Ball Possession 48%
11 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 5
314 Passes 283
78% Pass Accuracy 76%
22 Box Touches 22
20 Crosses 20
2 Yellow Cards 2
10.08.2024 Qingdao Jonoon Qingdao Jonoon 0-2 HT 0-0 Henan Jianye Henan Jianye ÇİNSL
25.06.2024 Henan Jianye Henan Jianye 1-0 HT 0-0 Qingdao Jonoon Qingdao Jonoon ÇİNSL
21.04.2024 Henan Jianye Henan Jianye 1-0 HT 0-0 Qingdao Jonoon Qingdao Jonoon ÇİN
01.03.2024 Qingdao Jonoon Qingdao Jonoon 1-1 HT 0-1 Henan Jianye Henan Jianye ÇİNSL
17.07.2023 Qingdao Jonoon Qingdao Jonoon 2-0 HT 1-0 Henan Jianye Henan Jianye ÇİNSL
21.04.2023 Henan Jianye Henan Jianye 0-0 HT 0-0 Qingdao Jonoon Qingdao Jonoon ÇİN
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Henan Jianye
2-3
AWAY Qingdao Jonoon
1.65 xG 1.49
46% Ball Possession 54%
9 Total Shots 15
5 Shots on Target 5
2 Corners 4
266 Passes 322
76% Pass Accuracy 79%
15 Box Touches 27
16 Crosses 19
4 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH Henan Jianye vs Qingdao Jonoon
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Qingdao Jonoon squeezed past Henan Jianye 3-2 away from home. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match lean was Henan Jianye at 42%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (58%), no to both teams scoring (59%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Henan Jianye had 46% of the ball to Qingdao Jonoon's 54%, shots finished 9-15, expected goals 1.65 to 1.49.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Henan Jianye had the better of it with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Henan Jianye and 0.50 for Qingdao Jonoon.

What was the final score of Henan Jianye vs Qingdao Jonoon?

Henan Jianye 2-3 Qingdao Jonoon in the China Halk Cumhuriyeti - Super League on 01/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Henan Jianye vs Qingdao Jonoon?

Before kick-off our model rated a Henan Jianye win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Henan Jianye 42%, draw 25%, Qingdao Jonoon 32%. The final score 2-3 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Henan Jianye) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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