Cosenza Calcio 1-0 Foggia Calcio — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Italy - Serie C, 4 Apr 2026

📅04/04/2026 · 🕒15:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
58%
1.64
Draw
24%
3.72
Away
18%
4.75
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
1.82
Over 2.5
47%
1.9
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.9
No
52%
1.81
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✓
30%
3.01
2-3 Goals
42%
1.72
4-5 Goals
19%
3.47
6+ Goals
9%
14.15
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.01 — our 30% vs market 26.0%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
28%
1/2
5%
1/X
7%
X/1
21%
X/2
7%
X/X
10%
2/1
9%
2/2
7%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
58%
Home Win
58%
+0.8pp
23%
Draw
24%
-0.7pp
18%
Away Win
18%
-0.1pp
53%
Under 2.5
51%
+1.6pp
47%
Over 2.5
49%
-1.6pp
48%
BTTS Yes
49%
-1.1pp
52%
BTTS No
51%
+1.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Cosenza Calcio EU Bookmakers 61%
Head to Head
AWAY Foggia Calcio EU Bookmakers 21%
+3% / +1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -4% / -22%
1.97/1.08 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.89/1.59
+25% / -21% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -6% / -15%
55% Ball Possession 45%
14 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
340 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 258 · 73%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.0 Yellow Cards 2.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Cosenza Calcio
1W-0D-2L
AWAY Foggia Calcio
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
1.30 xG 0.79
51% Ball Possession 49%
16 Total Shots 8
4 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
292 Passes 350
77% Pass Accuracy 80%
25 Box Touches 13
24 Crosses 18
2 Yellow Cards 3
30.11.2025 Foggia Calcio Foggia Calcio 2-1 HT 1-0 Cosenza Calcio Cosenza Calcio İTC
01.03.2019 Foggia Calcio Foggia Calcio 1-0 HT 1-0 Cosenza Calcio Cosenza Calcio İTB
20.10.2018 Cosenza Calcio Cosenza Calcio 2-0 HT 1-0 Foggia Calcio Foggia Calcio İTB
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Cosenza Calcio
1-0
AWAY Foggia Calcio
52% Ball Possession 48%
11 Total Shots 8
4 Shots on Target 1
2 Corners 3
2 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Cosenza Calcio vs Foggia Calcio
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Cosenza Calcio nicked a narrow win over Foggia Calcio 1-0.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Cosenza Calcio as the likeliest winner at 58%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams to score was close to even at 48%.

On the day, Cosenza Calcio had 52% of the ball to Foggia Calcio's 48%, shots finished 11-8.

Coming into the game, across their last 3 meetings in our records, Foggia Calcio led the recent series with 2 wins. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Cosenza Calcio and 1.00 for Foggia Calcio.

What was the final score of Cosenza Calcio vs Foggia Calcio?

Cosenza Calcio 1-0 Foggia Calcio in the Italy - Serie C on 04/04/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Cosenza Calcio vs Foggia Calcio?

Before kick-off our model rated a Cosenza Calcio win the most likely single outcome at about 58%, with the full match-result split Cosenza Calcio 58%, draw 23%, Foggia Calcio 18%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Cosenza Calcio), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Cosenza Calcio) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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