Trento AC 1-0 Alcione — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Italy - Serie C, 4 Apr 2026

📅04/04/2026 · 🕒18:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
53%
1.66
Draw
28%
3.64
Away
19%
4.31
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
58%
1.9
Over 2.5
42%
1.82
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
1.85
No
54%
1.85
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
32%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
17%
6+ Goals
11%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
27%
1/2
5%
1/X
5%
X/1
14%
X/2
6%
X/X
14%
2/1
12%
2/2
8%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
53%
Home Win
56%
-2.9pp
28%
Draw
24%
+4.1pp
19%
Away Win
20%
-1.2pp
58%
Under 2.5
49%
+9.1pp
42%
Over 2.5
51%
-9.1pp
46%
BTTS Yes
50%
-3.9pp
54%
BTTS No
50%
+3.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Trento AC EU Bookmakers 60%
Head to Head
AWAY Alcione EU Bookmakers 23%
-1% / -1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +8% / -2%
1.64/0.70 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.84/0.91
+4% / +21% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -11% / +49%
53% Ball Possession 47%
14 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
368 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 310 · 78%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.8 Yellow Cards 2.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Trento AC
2W-0D-1L
AWAY Alcione
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
51% Ball Possession 49%
10 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 2
5 Corners 2
4 Yellow Cards 2
30.11.2025 Alcione 2-0 HT 0-0 Trento AC Trento AC İTC
17.03.2025 Trento AC Trento AC 1-0 HT 1-0 Alcione İTC
02.11.2024 Alcione 0-1 HT 0-0 Trento AC Trento AC İTC
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Trento AC
1-0
AWAY Alcione
62% Ball Possession 38%
9 Total Shots 10
2 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 3
3 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH Trento AC vs Alcione
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Trento AC nicked a narrow win over Alcione 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we said in the preview, our model had Trento AC as the likeliest winner at 53%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (58%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Trento AC had 62% of the ball to Alcione's 38%, shots finished 9-10.

For context: across their last 3 meetings in our records, Trento AC had the better of it with 2 wins. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Trento AC and 0.67 for Alcione.

What was the final score of Trento AC vs Alcione?

Trento AC 1-0 Alcione in the Italy - Serie C on 04/04/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Trento AC vs Alcione?

Before kick-off our model rated a Trento AC win the most likely single outcome at about 53%, with the full match-result split Trento AC 53%, draw 28%, Alcione 19%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Trento AC), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Trento AC) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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