Trento AC 1-0 Alcione — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Italy - Serie C, 17 Mar 2025

📅17/03/2025 · 🕒22:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
48%
1.64
Draw
27%
3.54
Away
25%
4.85
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
59%
1.6
Over 2.5
41%
2.21
Both Teams to Score
Yes
39%
2.19
No
61%
1.6
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
34%
2.39
2-3 Goals
40%
1.72
4-5 Goals
19%
4.43
6+ Goals
7%
24.3
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
23%
1/2
4%
1/X
6%
X/1
20%
X/2
10%
X/X
16%
2/1
5%
2/2
11%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
48%
Home Win
57%
-9.2pp
27%
Draw
25%
+1.6pp
25%
Away Win
18%
+7.7pp
59%
Under 2.5
59%
+0.6pp
41%
Over 2.5
41%
-0.6pp
39%
BTTS Yes
42%
-2.6pp
61%
BTTS No
58%
+2.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Trento AC EU Bookmakers 61%
Head to Head
AWAY Alcione EU Bookmakers 21%
-12% / -12% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +33% / +33%
1.54/0.87 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.31/0.67
-3% / -4% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +47% / +123%
56% Ball Possession 44%
14 Total Shots 8
5 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
332 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 264 · 71%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.3 Yellow Cards 1.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Trento AC
1W-0D-0L
AWAY Alcione
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.00
51% Ball Possession 49%
7 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 2
6 Corners 4
4 Yellow Cards 3
02.11.2024 Alcione 0-1 HT 0-0 Trento AC Trento AC İTC
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Trento AC
1-0
AWAY Alcione
49% Ball Possession 51%
13 Total Shots 14
6 Shots on Target 3
3 Corners 2
3 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Trento AC vs Alcione
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Trento AC squeezed past Alcione 1-0.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Trento AC as the likeliest winner at 48%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (59%), no to both teams scoring (61%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, Trento AC had 49% of the ball to Alcione's 51%, shots finished 13-14.

What was the final score of Trento AC vs Alcione?

Trento AC 1-0 Alcione in the Italy - Serie C on 17/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Trento AC vs Alcione?

Before kick-off our model rated a Trento AC win the most likely single outcome at about 48%, with the full match-result split Trento AC 48%, draw 27%, Alcione 25%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Trento AC), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Trento AC) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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