SPAL 0-3 Ternana — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Italy - Serie C, 17 Mar 2025

SPAL
0-3 HT 0-1
Ternana
📅17/03/2025 · 🕒22:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-2 ✗ 2nd Score 0-1 ✗
Italy - Serie C – 2024/2025

SPAL vs Ternana Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
24%
3.5
Draw
26%
3.35
Away
50%
1.89
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
1.62
Over 2.5
47%
2.18
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
2.03
No
54%
1.7
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
29%
2.4
2-3 Goals
41%
1.72
4-5 Goals
21%
4.4
6+ Goals
9%
23.85
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
9%
1/2
6%
1/X
8%
X/1
9%
X/2
21%
X/X
12%
2/1
6%
2/2
23%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
24%
Home Win
25%
-1.2pp
26%
Draw
26%
-0.5pp
50%
Away Win
49%
+1.7pp
53%
Under 2.5
58%
-5.1pp
47%
Over 2.5
42%
+5.0pp
46%
BTTS Yes
45%
+1.2pp
54%
BTTS No
55%
-1.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

SPAL v Ternana — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME SPAL EU Bookmakers 29%
Head to Head
AWAY Ternana EU Bookmakers 53%
-9% / -9% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +11% / +7%
0.43/1.25 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.59/0.67
-59% / -1% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +9% / +40%
47% Ball Possession 53%
11 Total Shots 15
4 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 5
334 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 358 · 80%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
2.4 Yellow Cards 2.7

SPAL vs Ternana Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME SPAL
1W-2D-3L
AWAY Ternana
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
1.59 xG 1.31
49% Ball Possession 51%
12 Total Shots 16
3 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 6
330 Passes 299
80% Pass Accuracy 76%
19 Box Touches 24
19 Crosses 24
2 Yellow Cards 3
The Meetings
02.11.2024 Ternana Ternana 4-1 HT 0-1 SPAL SPAL İTC
01.04.2023 SPAL SPAL 1-1 HT 1-0 Ternana Ternana İTB
05.11.2022 Ternana Ternana 0-0 HT 0-0 SPAL SPAL İTB
22.02.2022 SPAL SPAL 5-1 HT 2-0 Ternana Ternana İTB
26.09.2021 Ternana Ternana 1-0 HT 1-0 SPAL SPAL İTB
13.05.2017 Ternana Ternana 2-1 HT 2-1 SPAL SPAL İTB

SPAL 0-3 Ternana — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME SPAL
0-3
AWAY Ternana
48% Ball Possession 52%
9 Total Shots 11
3 Shots on Target 6
6 Corners 6
1 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH SPAL vs Ternana
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Ternana swept aside SPAL 3-0 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

As we said in the preview, our model had Ternana as the likeliest winner at 50%, and the 3-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams to score was close to even at 46%.

On the day, SPAL had 48% of the ball to Ternana's 52%, shots finished 9-11.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Ternana led the recent series with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for SPAL and 1.50 for Ternana.

What was the final score of SPAL vs Ternana?

SPAL 0-3 Ternana in the Italy - Serie C on 17/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for SPAL vs Ternana?

Before kick-off our model rated an Ternana win the most likely single outcome at about 50%, with the full match-result split SPAL 24%, draw 26%, Ternana 50%. The final score 0-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Ternana), BTTS No — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Ternana) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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