Foggia Calcio 2-1 Cosenza Calcio — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Italy - Serie C, 30 Nov 2025

📅30/11/2025 · 🕒19:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
20%
4.48
Draw
24%
3.45
Away
56%
1.71
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
45%
1.74
Over 2.5
55%
2.0
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
1.96
No
47%
1.75
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
23%
2.8
2-3 Goals
44%
1.74
4-5 Goals
24%
3.85
6+ Goals
9%
17.45
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
11%
1/2
7%
1/X
6%
X/1
5%
X/2
8%
X/X
8%
2/1
4%
2/2
40%
2/X
11%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
20%
Home Win
19%
+0.8pp
24%
Draw
26%
-1.7pp
56%
Away Win
55%
+0.8pp
45%
Under 2.5
54%
-9.0pp
55%
Over 2.5
46%
+9.0pp
53%
BTTS Yes
47%
+5.6pp
47%
BTTS No
53%
-5.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Foggia Calcio EU Bookmakers 22%
Head to Head
AWAY Cosenza Calcio EU Bookmakers 58%
+24% / +26% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +7% / +7%
1.09/0.83 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.00/0.50
+14% / +59% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -33% / +64%
46% Ball Possession 54%
8 Total Shots 11
3 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 4
260 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 340 · 78%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.1 Yellow Cards 0.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Foggia Calcio
1W-0D-1L
AWAY Cosenza Calcio
0.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
0.79 xG 1.30
54% Ball Possession 46%
8 Total Shots 13
2 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 5
350 Passes 292
80% Pass Accuracy 77%
13 Box Touches 25
18 Crosses 24
3 Yellow Cards 2
01.03.2019 Foggia Calcio Foggia Calcio 1-0 HT 1-0 Cosenza Calcio Cosenza Calcio İTB
20.10.2018 Cosenza Calcio Cosenza Calcio 2-0 HT 1-0 Foggia Calcio Foggia Calcio İTB
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Foggia Calcio
2-1
AWAY Cosenza Calcio
40% Ball Possession 60%
9 Total Shots 22
5 Shots on Target 6
1 Corners 8
3 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Foggia Calcio vs Cosenza Calcio
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Foggia Calcio nicked a narrow win over Cosenza Calcio 2-1. Half-time: 1-0.

This one beat our numbers. Cosenza Calcio carried 56% before kick-off and it didn't land — a reminder that even strong leads lose regularly. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (55%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Foggia Calcio had 40% of the ball to Cosenza Calcio's 60%, shots finished 9-22.

For context: across their last 2 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for Foggia Calcio and 1.00 for Cosenza Calcio.

What was the final score of Foggia Calcio vs Cosenza Calcio?

Foggia Calcio 2-1 Cosenza Calcio in the Italy - Serie C on 30/11/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Foggia Calcio vs Cosenza Calcio?

Before kick-off our model rated an Cosenza Calcio win the most likely single outcome at about 56%, with the full match-result split Foggia Calcio 20%, draw 24%, Cosenza Calcio 56%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Cosenza Calcio) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Cosenza Calcio) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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