Juventus II 1-0 Perugia — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Italy - Serie C, 30 Nov 2025

📅30/11/2025 · 🕒14:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
43%
2.27
Draw
23%
3.11
Away
34%
2.9
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
52%
1.62
Over 2.5
48%
2.18
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.95
No
52%
1.76
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
32%
2.48
2-3 Goals
38%
1.74
4-5 Goals
20%
4.41
6+ Goals
10%
23.55
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
1/2
5%
1/X
7%
X/1
16%
X/2
12%
X/X
12%
2/1
10%
2/2
16%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
43%
Home Win
40%
+2.6pp
23%
Draw
29%
-5.3pp
34%
Away Win
31%
+2.7pp
52%
Under 2.5
58%
-5.4pp
48%
Over 2.5
42%
+5.4pp
48%
BTTS Yes
47%
+1.0pp
52%
BTTS No
53%
-1.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Juventus II EU Bookmakers 44%
Head to Head
AWAY Perugia EU Bookmakers 34%
+5% / +8% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -11% / -26%
1.42/1.02 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.79/1.44
+15% / +2% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -28% / -19%
51% Ball Possession 49%
11 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
281 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 343 · 78%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.0 Yellow Cards 2.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Juventus II
0W-0D-2L
AWAY Perugia
0.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
50% Ball Possession 50%
13 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 4
1 Yellow Cards 2
25.02.2024 Perugia Perugia 2-0 HT 1-0 Juventus II Juventus II İTC
22.10.2023 Juventus II Juventus II 0-2 HT 0-1 Perugia Perugia İTC
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Juventus II
1-0
AWAY Perugia
60% Ball Possession 40%
12 Total Shots 5
2 Shots on Target 0
3 Corners 2
POST-MATCH Juventus II vs Perugia
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Juventus II squeezed past Perugia 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Juventus II as the likeliest winner at 43%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 48% and both teams to score was close to even at 48%.

On the day, Juventus II had 60% of the ball to Perugia's 40%, shots finished 12-5.

For context: across their last 2 meetings in our records, Perugia led the recent series with 2 wins. Those games averaged 0.00 goals for Juventus II and 2.00 for Perugia.

What was the final score of Juventus II vs Perugia?

Juventus II 1-0 Perugia in the Italy - Serie C on 30/11/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Juventus II vs Perugia?

Before kick-off our model rated a Juventus II win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Juventus II 43%, draw 23%, Perugia 34%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Juventus II), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Juventus II) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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