Perugia 2-0 Juventus II — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Italy - Serie C, 25 Feb 2024

📅25/02/2024 · 🕒18:15 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
43%
1.75
Draw
30%
3.54
Away
27%
4.15
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
61%
1.74
Over 2.5
39%
2.0
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
1.95
No
55%
1.76
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
33%
2.86
2-3 Goals
39%
1.77
4-5 Goals
20%
4.07
6+ Goals
8%
19.15
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.86 — our 33% vs market 29.1%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
22%
1/2
8%
1/X
8%
X/1
14%
X/2
10%
X/X
14%
2/1
7%
2/2
9%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
43%
Home Win
54%
-10.0pp
30%
Draw
25%
+4.6pp
27%
Away Win
21%
+5.4pp
61%
Under 2.5
54%
+7.1pp
39%
Over 2.5
46%
-7.1pp
45%
BTTS Yes
47%
-2.2pp
55%
BTTS No
53%
+2.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Perugia EU Bookmakers 57%
Head to Head
AWAY Juventus II EU Bookmakers 24%
-1% / -1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +4% / +7%
1.41/0.76 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.99/1.31
-11% / +10% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +3% / +3%
52% Ball Possession 48%
11 Total Shots 8
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
377 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 208 · 68%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.6 Yellow Cards 2.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Perugia
1W-0D-0L
AWAY Juventus II
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.00
54% Ball Possession 46%
17 Total Shots 13
6 Shots on Target 2
6 Corners 2
4 Yellow Cards 1
22.10.2023 Juventus II Juventus II 0-2 HT 0-1 Perugia Perugia İTC
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Perugia
2-0
AWAY Juventus II
47% Ball Possession 53%
10 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 6
1 Corners 9
1 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Perugia vs Juventus II
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Perugia beat Juventus II 2-0. Half-time: 1-0.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Perugia as the likeliest winner at 43%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (61%), no to both teams scoring (55%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, Perugia had 47% of the ball to Juventus II's 53%, shots finished 10-13.

What was the final score of Perugia vs Juventus II?

Perugia 2-0 Juventus II in the Italy - Serie C on 25/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Perugia vs Juventus II?

Before kick-off our model rated a Perugia win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Perugia 43%, draw 30%, Juventus II 27%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Perugia), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Perugia) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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