Arezzo 1-0 Sambenedettese — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Italy - Serie C, 30 Nov 2025

📅30/11/2025 · 🕒16:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
60%
1.57
Draw
23%
3.64
Away
17%
5.11
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
55%
1.71
Over 2.5
45%
2.03
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
2.09
No
53%
1.66
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
29%
2.7
2-3 Goals
43%
1.74
4-5 Goals
18%
3.99
6+ Goals
10%
18.95
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
34%
1/2
5%
1/X
7%
X/1
20%
X/2
5%
X/X
9%
2/1
6%
2/2
7%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
60%
Home Win
59%
+1.0pp
23%
Draw
24%
-1.3pp
17%
Away Win
16%
+0.3pp
55%
Under 2.5
55%
+0.8pp
45%
Over 2.5
45%
-0.8pp
47%
BTTS Yes
44%
+3.5pp
53%
BTTS No
56%
-3.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Arezzo EU Bookmakers 64%
Head to Head
AWAY Sambenedettese EU Bookmakers 20%
-4% / -15% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +17% / +23%
1.54/0.71 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.12/0.88
-10% / +7% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +27% / +71%
54% Ball Possession 46%
16 Total Shots 8
6 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 3
338 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 292 · 75%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.2 Yellow Cards 3.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Arezzo
0W-0D-2L
AWAY Sambenedettese
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
48% Ball Possession 52%
12 Total Shots 10
3 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 8
2 Yellow Cards 2
07.03.2021 Sambenedettese Sambenedettese 1-0 HT 0-0 Arezzo Arezzo İTC
02.12.2020 Arezzo Arezzo 2-3 HT 2-2 Sambenedettese Sambenedettese İTC
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Arezzo
1-0
AWAY Sambenedettese
51% Ball Possession 49%
8 Total Shots 8
3 Shots on Target 2
2 Corners 3
2 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Arezzo vs Sambenedettese
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Arezzo squeezed past Sambenedettese 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Arezzo as the likeliest winner at 60%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (55%) came in.

On the day, Arezzo had 51% of the ball to Sambenedettese's 49%, shots finished 8-8.

For context: across their last 2 meetings in our records, Sambenedettese led the recent series with 2 wins. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Arezzo and 2.00 for Sambenedettese.

What was the final score of Arezzo vs Sambenedettese?

Arezzo 1-0 Sambenedettese in the Italy - Serie C on 30/11/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Arezzo vs Sambenedettese?

Before kick-off our model rated a Arezzo win the most likely single outcome at about 60%, with the full match-result split Arezzo 60%, draw 23%, Sambenedettese 17%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Arezzo), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Arezzo) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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