Vicenza 1-0 Lecco — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Italy - Serie C, 30 Nov 2025

📅30/11/2025 · 🕒16:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
62%
1.53
Draw
23%
3.64
Away
15%
5.64
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
56%
1.62
Over 2.5
44%
2.18
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
2.29
No
55%
1.55
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
28%
2.46
2-3 Goals
45%
1.74
4-5 Goals
19%
4.44
6+ Goals
8%
24.0
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
30%
1/2
4%
1/X
8%
X/1
21%
X/2
5%
X/X
8%
2/1
10%
2/2
6%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
62%
Home Win
61%
+0.6pp
23%
Draw
24%
-0.8pp
15%
Away Win
15%
+0.3pp
56%
Under 2.5
58%
-2.2pp
44%
Over 2.5
42%
+2.2pp
45%
BTTS Yes
40%
+5.2pp
55%
BTTS No
60%
-5.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Vicenza EU Bookmakers 65%
Head to Head
AWAY Lecco EU Bookmakers 18%
+5% / +18% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +7% / +5%
1.97/0.49 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.96/1.78
+16% / +56% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +9% / -16%
55% Ball Possession 45%
14 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 4
361 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 169 · 61%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.4 Yellow Cards 2.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Vicenza
2W-1D-1L
AWAY Lecco
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
54% Ball Possession 46%
11 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 2
2 Corners 3
4 Yellow Cards 2
17.03.2025 Lecco Lecco 1-1 HT 0-1 Vicenza Vicenza İTC
04.11.2024 Vicenza Vicenza 1-0 HT 0-0 Lecco Lecco İTC
14.01.2023 Lecco Lecco 3-0 HT 0-0 Vicenza Vicenza İTC
13.09.2022 Vicenza Vicenza 4-0 HT 1-0 Lecco Lecco İTC
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Vicenza
1-0
AWAY Lecco
51% Ball Possession 49%
14 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 1
1 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Vicenza vs Lecco
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Vicenza nicked a narrow win over Lecco 1-0.

As we said in the preview, our model had Vicenza as the likeliest winner at 62%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (56%), no to both teams scoring (55%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, Vicenza had 51% of the ball to Lecco's 49%, shots finished 14-10.

Coming into the game, across their last 4 meetings in our records, Vicenza had the better of it with 2 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Vicenza and 1.00 for Lecco.

What was the final score of Vicenza vs Lecco?

Vicenza 1-0 Lecco in the Italy - Serie C on 30/11/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Vicenza vs Lecco?

Before kick-off our model rated a Vicenza win the most likely single outcome at about 62%, with the full match-result split Vicenza 62%, draw 23%, Lecco 15%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Vicenza), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Vicenza) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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