Atalanta II 3-1 Siracusa — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Italy - Serie C, 30 Nov 2025

📅30/11/2025 · 🕒16:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
49%
1.86
Draw
28%
3.45
Away
23%
3.48
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
51%
2.0
Over 2.5
49%
1.74
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.68
No
49%
2.06
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
30%
3.62
2-3 Goals
36%
1.79
4-5 Goals
25%
3.11
6+ Goals
9%
10.55
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.62 — our 30% vs market 21.4%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
22%
1/2
6%
1/X
11%
X/1
22%
X/2
6%
X/X
12%
2/1
6%
2/2
11%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
50%
Home Win
50%
+0.1pp
28%
Draw
25%
+2.5pp
23%
Away Win
25%
-2.5pp
51%
Under 2.5
46%
+4.9pp
49%
Over 2.5
54%
-4.9pp
51%
BTTS Yes
56%
-4.8pp
49%
BTTS No
44%
+4.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Atalanta II EU Bookmakers 54%
Head to Head
AWAY Siracusa EU Bookmakers 29%
+4% / +1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +13% / +13%
2.00/1.15 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.49/1.45
+41% / -20% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +44% / -14%
54% Ball Possession 46%
14 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
372 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 265 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.9 Yellow Cards 1.0
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Atalanta II
3-1
AWAY Siracusa
42% Ball Possession 58%
8 Total Shots 14
7 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 6
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Atalanta II vs Siracusa
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Atalanta II got the better of Siracusa 3-1. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Atalanta II as the likeliest winner at 50%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 49% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.

On the day, Atalanta II had 42% of the ball to Siracusa's 58%, shots finished 8-14.

What was the final score of Atalanta II vs Siracusa?

Atalanta II 3-1 Siracusa in the Italy - Serie C on 30/11/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Atalanta II vs Siracusa?

Before kick-off our model rated a Atalanta II win the most likely single outcome at about 50%, with the full match-result split Atalanta II 50%, draw 28%, Siracusa 23%. The final score 3-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Atalanta II), BTTS Yes — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Atalanta II) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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