Nuova Monterosi 1-1 Ternana — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Italy - Serie C, 4 Apr 2026

📅04/04/2026 · 🕒18:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
27%
3.17
Draw
31%
3.04
Away
42%
2.16
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
58%
1.52
Over 2.5
42%
2.38
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
2.06
No
53%
1.68
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
35%
2-3 Goals
39%
4-5 Goals
18%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
10%
1/2
7%
1/X
7%
X/1
10%
X/2
16%
X/X
16%
2/1
7%
2/2
19%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
27%
Home Win
28%
-1.5pp
31%
Draw
29%
+1.7pp
42%
Away Win
42%
-0.2pp
58%
Under 2.5
62%
-3.7pp
42%
Over 2.5
38%
+3.7pp
47%
BTTS Yes
44%
+2.3pp
53%
BTTS No
56%
-2.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Nuova Monterosi EU Bookmakers 32%
Head to Head
AWAY Ternana EU Bookmakers 46%
-7% / -15% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +8% / -3%
0.93/1.19 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.32/0.53
-16% / -4% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -4% / +94%
48% Ball Possession 52%
10 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
252 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 376 · 81%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.2 Yellow Cards 2.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Nuova Monterosi
1W-0D-0L
AWAY Ternana
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
44% Ball Possession 56%
10 Total Shots 7
4 Shots on Target 4
2 Corners 2
1 Yellow Cards 1
30.11.2025 Ternana Ternana 1-2 HT 1-2 Nuova Monterosi Nuova Monterosi İTC
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Nuova Monterosi
1-1
AWAY Ternana
42% Ball Possession 58%
8 Total Shots 12
6 Shots on Target 9
4 Corners 3
4 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Nuova Monterosi vs Ternana
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Nuova Monterosi and Ternana couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. Half-time: 0-0.

Our pre-match lean was Ternana at 42%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (58%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Nuova Monterosi had 42% of the ball to Ternana's 58%, shots finished 8-12.

What was the final score of Nuova Monterosi vs Ternana?

Nuova Monterosi 1-1 Ternana in the Italy - Serie C on 04/04/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Nuova Monterosi vs Ternana?

Before kick-off our model rated an Ternana win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Nuova Monterosi 27%, draw 31%, Ternana 42%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Ternana), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Ternana) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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