Ternana 1-2 Nuova Monterosi — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Italy - Serie C, 30 Nov 2025

📅30/11/2025 · 🕒19:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
59%
1.72
Draw
23%
3.45
Away
18%
4.47
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
55%
1.62
Over 2.5
45%
2.18
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
2.09
No
53%
1.66
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
29%
2.51
2-3 Goals
42%
1.74
4-5 Goals
21%
4.34
6+ Goals
8%
22.7
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
31%
1/2
5%
1/X
9%
X/1
19%
X/2
5%
X/X
8%
2/1
9%
2/2
8%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
59%
Home Win
54%
+4.2pp
23%
Draw
26%
-2.8pp
18%
Away Win
20%
-1.5pp
55%
Under 2.5
58%
-2.6pp
45%
Over 2.5
42%
+2.6pp
47%
BTTS Yes
44%
+3.5pp
53%
BTTS No
56%
-3.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Ternana EU Bookmakers 58%
Head to Head
AWAY Nuova Monterosi EU Bookmakers 22%
+6% / +16% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +6% / +1%
1.87/0.64 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.97/1.20
+19% / +32% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +1% / +13%
58% Ball Possession 42%
14 Total Shots 8
5 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 3
352 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 289 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.5 Yellow Cards 2.9
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Ternana
1-2
AWAY Nuova Monterosi
56% Ball Possession 44%
7 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
2 Corners 2
1 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Ternana vs Nuova Monterosi
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Nuova Monterosi squeezed past Ternana 2-1 away from home.

By our pre-match numbers this was an upset: we had Ternana at 59% and the game still went the other way. Single results are noisy — probabilities earn their keep across thousands of matches, not one. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (55%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Ternana had 56% of the ball to Nuova Monterosi's 44%, shots finished 7-10.

What was the final score of Ternana vs Nuova Monterosi?

Ternana 1-2 Nuova Monterosi in the Italy - Serie C on 30/11/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Ternana vs Nuova Monterosi?

Before kick-off our model rated a Ternana win the most likely single outcome at about 59%, with the full match-result split Ternana 59%, draw 23%, Nuova Monterosi 18%. The final score 1-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Ternana) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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