Balingen 2-3 Freiburg II — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Germany - Regional League, 4 Apr 2026

📅04/04/2026 · 🕒15:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 1-3
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
26%
2.67
Draw
27%
3.45
Away
47%
2.23
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
44%
2.03
Over 2.5
56%
1.71
Both Teams to Score
Yes
60%
1.61
No
40%
2.16
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
23%
2-3 Goals
36%
4-5 Goals
25%
6+ Goals
16%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
11%
1/2
10%
1/X
5%
X/1
9%
X/2
10%
X/X
12%
2/1
6%
2/2
28%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
26%
Home Win
34%
-7.9pp
27%
Draw
26%
+1.4pp
47%
Away Win
41%
+6.4pp
44%
Under 2.5
45%
-1.0pp
56%
Over 2.5
55%
+1.0pp
60%
BTTS Yes
58%
+2.1pp
40%
BTTS No
42%
-2.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Balingen EU Bookmakers 37%
Head to Head
AWAY Freiburg II EU Bookmakers 45%
-6% / -7% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +3% / +4%
1.71/1.73 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.71/1.12
+17% / -11% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +5% / +23%
50% Ball Possession 50%
14 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 4
313 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 333 · 79%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.3 Yellow Cards 1.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Balingen
1W-1D-2L
AWAY Freiburg II
1.75 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
34% Ball Possession 66%
5 Total Shots 16
5 Shots on Target 6
1 Corners 12
30.09.2025 Freiburg II Freiburg II 4-4 HT 1-1 Balingen Balingen ALMBÖL
03.04.2021 Balingen Balingen 0-1 HT 0-0 Freiburg II Freiburg II ALMBÖL
18.10.2020 Freiburg II Freiburg II 1-2 HT 0-0 Balingen Balingen ALMBÖL
14.09.2019 Balingen Balingen 1-2 HT 0-0 Freiburg II Freiburg II ALMBÖL
POST-MATCH Balingen vs Freiburg II
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Freiburg II squeezed past Balingen 3-2 away from home. Half-time: 1-2. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Freiburg II as the likeliest winner at 47%, and the 3-2 landed on that lead. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (56%), both teams to score (60%), and both reads landed as well.

For context: across their last 4 meetings in our records, Freiburg II led the recent series with 2 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.75 goals for Balingen and 2.00 for Freiburg II.

What was the final score of Balingen vs Freiburg II?

Balingen 2-3 Freiburg II in the Germany - Regional League on 04/04/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Balingen vs Freiburg II?

Before kick-off our model rated an Freiburg II win the most likely single outcome at about 47%, with the full match-result split Balingen 26%, draw 27%, Freiburg II 47%. The final score 2-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Freiburg II), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Freiburg II) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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