Freiburg II 4-4 Balingen — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Germany - Regional League, 30 Sep 2025

Freiburg II
4-4 HT 1-1
Balingen
📅30/09/2025 · 🕒20:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 ✗ 2nd Score 3-1 ✗
Germany - Regional League – 2025/2026

Freiburg II vs Balingen Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
58%
1.72
Draw
19%
3.94
Away
23%
3.71
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
39%
Over 2.5
61%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
62%
1.53
No
38%
2.33
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
19%
2-3 Goals
38%
4-5 Goals
27%
6+ Goals
16%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
31%
1/2
5%
1/X
9%
X/1
14%
X/2
6%
X/X
5%
2/1
13%
2/2
12%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
58%
Home Win
54%
+3.7pp
19%
Draw
22%
-3.2pp
23%
Away Win
24%
-0.5pp
62%
BTTS Yes
61%
+0.5pp
38%
BTTS No
39%
-0.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Freiburg II v Balingen — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Freiburg II EU Bookmakers 58%
Head to Head
AWAY Balingen EU Bookmakers 27%
+9% / +3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +15% / +22%
2.32/1.15 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.60/1.55
+18% / -5% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +23% / +9%
55% Ball Possession 45%
14 Total Shots 12
6 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
350 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 310 · 78%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
2.5 Yellow Cards 2.1

Freiburg II vs Balingen Head-to-Head — Last 3 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Freiburg II
2W-0D-1L
AWAY Balingen
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
66% Ball Possession 34%
16 Total Shots 5
6 Shots on Target 5
12 Corners 1
The Meetings
03.04.2021 Balingen Balingen 0-1 HT 0-0 Freiburg II Freiburg II ALMBÖL
18.10.2020 Freiburg II Freiburg II 1-2 HT 0-0 Balingen Balingen ALMBÖL
14.09.2019 Balingen Balingen 1-2 HT 0-0 Freiburg II Freiburg II ALMBÖL
POST-MATCH Freiburg II vs Balingen
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Freiburg II and Balingen couldn't be separated, finishing 4-4. Half-time: 1-1. 8 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

By our pre-match numbers this was an upset: we had Freiburg II at 58% and the game still went the other way. Single results are noisy — probabilities earn their keep across thousands of matches, not one. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (61%), both teams to score (62%) came in.

Coming into the game, across their last 3 meetings in our records, Freiburg II had the better of it with 2 wins. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Freiburg II and 1.00 for Balingen.

What was the final score of Freiburg II vs Balingen?

Freiburg II 4-4 Balingen in the Germany - Regional League on 30/09/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Freiburg II vs Balingen?

Before kick-off our model rated a Freiburg II win the most likely single outcome at about 58%, with the full match-result split Freiburg II 58%, draw 19%, Balingen 23%. The final score 4-4 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Freiburg II) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Freiburg II) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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