Stuttgarter Kickers 1-1 SGV Freiberg — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Germany - Regional League, 30 Sep 2025

📅30/09/2025 · 🕒20:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
29%
2.8
Draw
28%
3.54
Away
43%
2.11
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
48%
2.23
Over 2.5
52%
1.59
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.49
No
50%
2.44
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
32%
2-3 Goals
34%
4-5 Goals
24%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
13%
1/2
7%
1/X
7%
X/1
12%
X/2
13%
X/X
12%
2/1
4%
2/2
23%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
29%
Home Win
32%
-3.3pp
28%
Draw
25%
+3.8pp
43%
Away Win
43%
-0.5pp
48%
Under 2.5
41%
+7.5pp
52%
Over 2.5
59%
-7.5pp
50%
BTTS Yes
63%
-12.7pp
50%
BTTS No
37%
+12.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Stuttgarter Kickers EU Bookmakers 36%
Head to Head
AWAY SGV Freiberg EU Bookmakers 48%
+21% / +21% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +18% / +18%
1.00/0.63 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.80/1.45
-26% / +150% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +60% / -10%
49% Ball Possession 51%
12 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 4
309 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 365 · 81%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards 1.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Stuttgarter Kickers
2W-1D-0L
AWAY SGV Freiberg
2.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
09.04.2025 Stuttgarter Kickers Stuttgarter Kickers 3-2 HT 0-0 SGV Freiberg SGV Freiberg ALMBÖL
28.09.2024 SGV Freiberg SGV Freiberg 2-2 HT 0-1 Stuttgarter Kickers Stuttgarter Kickers ALMBÖL
04.11.2023 SGV Freiberg SGV Freiberg 0-2 HT 0-1 Stuttgarter Kickers Stuttgarter Kickers ALMBÖL
POST-MATCH Stuttgarter Kickers vs SGV Freiberg
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Stuttgarter Kickers and SGV Freiberg couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

Our pre-match lean was SGV Freiberg at 43%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 52% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.

Coming into the game, across their last 3 meetings in our records, Stuttgarter Kickers had the better of it with 2 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.33 goals for Stuttgarter Kickers and 1.33 for SGV Freiberg.

What was the final score of Stuttgarter Kickers vs SGV Freiberg?

Stuttgarter Kickers 1-1 SGV Freiberg in the Germany - Regional League on 30/09/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Stuttgarter Kickers vs SGV Freiberg?

Before kick-off our model rated an SGV Freiberg win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Stuttgarter Kickers 29%, draw 28%, SGV Freiberg 43%. The final score 1-1 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (SGV Freiberg) ✗ Over 2.5
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