Werder Bremen II 4-0 Lübeck — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Germany - Regional League, 30 Sep 2025

📅30/09/2025 · 🕒20:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
34%
2.12
Draw
28%
3.8
Away
38%
2.62
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
32%
Over 2.5
68%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
73%
1.35
No
27%
2.95
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
15%
2-3 Goals
34%
4-5 Goals
33%
6+ Goals
18%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
14%
1/2
5%
1/X
4%
X/1
15%
X/2
13%
X/X
15%
2/1
5%
2/2
19%
2/X
10%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
34%
Home Win
43%
-9.3pp
29%
Draw
23%
+5.9pp
38%
Away Win
34%
+3.5pp
73%
BTTS Yes
70%
+3.1pp
27%
BTTS No
30%
-3.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Werder Bremen II EU Bookmakers 47%
Head to Head
AWAY Lübeck EU Bookmakers 38%
+5% / +5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +12% / +24%
2.47/1.64 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.55/1.09
+46% / -21% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +1% / +34%
47% Ball Possession 53%
13 Total Shots 14
6 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 5
289 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 350 · 80%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.4 Yellow Cards 1.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Werder Bremen II
1W-1D-4L
AWAY Lübeck
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
52% Ball Possession 48%
16 Total Shots 13
7 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 4
4 Yellow Cards 1
03.11.2024 Werder Bremen II Werder Bremen II 1-1 HT 0-1 Lübeck Lübeck ALMBÖL
10.05.2023 Werder Bremen II Werder Bremen II 2-1 HT 1-1 Lübeck Lübeck ALMBÖL
09.09.2022 Lübeck Lübeck 2-1 HT 0-0 Werder Bremen II Werder Bremen II ALMBÖL
07.05.2022 Werder Bremen II Werder Bremen II 0-1 HT 0-0 Lübeck Lübeck ALMBÖL
13.04.2022 Lübeck Lübeck 1-0 HT 0-0 Werder Bremen II Werder Bremen II ALMBÖL
06.10.2019 Lübeck Lübeck 2-1 HT 1-1 Werder Bremen II Werder Bremen II ALMBÖL
POST-MATCH Werder Bremen II vs Lübeck
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Werder Bremen II cruised past Lübeck 4-0. Half-time: 2-0.

We called this one close before kick-off — 34% / 29% / 38% — and on the day Werder Bremen II made the difference. On goals, over 2.5 goals (68%) landed while both teams to score (73%) missed.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Lübeck led the recent series with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Werder Bremen II and 1.33 for Lübeck.

What was the final score of Werder Bremen II vs Lübeck?

Werder Bremen II 4-0 Lübeck in the Germany - Regional League on 30/09/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Werder Bremen II vs Lübeck?

Before kick-off our model rated an Lübeck win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Werder Bremen II 34%, draw 29%, Lübeck 38%. The final score 4-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5 — while Match Result (Lübeck), BTTS Yes went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Lübeck) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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