Mainz 05 II 3-2 Eintracht Trier — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Germany - Regional League, 30 Sep 2025

📅30/09/2025 · 🕒20:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
39%
2.67
Draw
22%
3.45
Away
39%
2.23
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
45%
1.95
Over 2.5
55%
1.78
Both Teams to Score
Yes
58%
1.66
No
42%
2.09
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
21%
2-3 Goals
42%
4-5 Goals
25%
6+ Goals
12%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
1/2
6%
1/X
7%
X/1
16%
X/2
12%
X/X
7%
2/1
7%
2/2
21%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
39%
Home Win
34%
+5.4pp
22%
Draw
26%
-3.7pp
39%
Away Win
41%
-1.9pp
45%
Under 2.5
48%
-2.9pp
55%
Over 2.5
52%
+2.9pp
58%
BTTS Yes
56%
+1.4pp
42%
BTTS No
44%
-1.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Mainz 05 II EU Bookmakers 37%
Head to Head
AWAY Eintracht Trier EU Bookmakers 45%
-13% / -17% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -28% / -28%
1.17/1.27 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.34/2.55
-20% / +20% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -18% / -47%
54% Ball Possession 46%
11 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
279 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 330 · 80%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.5 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Mainz 05 II
2W-0D-2L
AWAY Eintracht Trier
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.50
55% Ball Possession 45%
10 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 2
6 Corners 4
1 Yellow Cards 2
03.11.2024 Mainz 05 II Mainz 05 II 0-1 HT 0-0 Eintracht Trier Eintracht Trier ALMBÖL
11.03.2023 Mainz 05 II Mainz 05 II 2-0 HT 1-0 Eintracht Trier Eintracht Trier ALMBÖL
04.09.2022 Eintracht Trier Eintracht Trier 0-2 HT 0-0 Mainz 05 II Mainz 05 II ALMBÖL
26.04.2014 Eintracht Trier Eintracht Trier 1-0 HT 0-0 Mainz 05 II Mainz 05 II ALMBÖL
POST-MATCH Mainz 05 II vs Eintracht Trier
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Mainz 05 II squeezed past Eintracht Trier 3-2. Half-time: 2-0. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

We called this one close before kick-off — 39% / 22% / 39% — and on the day Mainz 05 II made the difference. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (55%), both teams to score (58%) came in.

For context: across their last 4 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Mainz 05 II and 0.50 for Eintracht Trier.

What was the final score of Mainz 05 II vs Eintracht Trier?

Mainz 05 II 3-2 Eintracht Trier in the Germany - Regional League on 30/09/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Mainz 05 II vs Eintracht Trier?

Before kick-off our model rated a Mainz 05 II win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Mainz 05 II 39%, draw 22%, Eintracht Trier 39%. The final score 3-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

◐ Match Result — model had it level (39/22/39) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
ALMBÖL More Germany - Regional League
30 Sep 2025
20:00 Werder Bremen II vs Lübeck Analysis →
20:00 Homburg vs Schott Mainz Analysis →
20:00 Kickers Offenbach vs Lehnerz Analysis →
20:00 Freiburg II vs Balingen Analysis →
20:00 Astoria Walldorf vs FSV Frankfurt Analysis →
20:00 Stuttgarter Kickers vs SGV Freiberg Analysis →