Stuttgarter Kickers 3-2 SGV Freiberg — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Germany - Regional League, 9 Apr 2025

📅09/04/2025 · 🕒20:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
41%
2.18
Draw
28%
3.35
Away
31%
2.79
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
55%
1.95
Over 2.5
45%
1.78
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.66
No
49%
2.09
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
21%
2-3 Goals
46%
4-5 Goals
22%
6+ Goals
11%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
1/2
6%
1/X
4%
X/1
14%
X/2
8%
X/X
13%
2/1
7%
2/2
17%
2/X
11%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
41%
Home Win
42%
-0.4pp
28%
Draw
26%
+1.7pp
31%
Away Win
32%
-1.2pp
55%
Under 2.5
48%
+7.4pp
45%
Over 2.5
52%
-7.4pp
51%
BTTS Yes
56%
-5.2pp
49%
BTTS No
44%
+5.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Stuttgarter Kickers EU Bookmakers 46%
Head to Head
AWAY SGV Freiberg EU Bookmakers 36%
+1% / +1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +9% / +9%
1.71/1.37 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.88/1.51
+9% / -3% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +42% / +3%
52% Ball Possession 48%
12 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
265 · 84% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 203 · 80%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
4.0 Yellow Cards 2.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Stuttgarter Kickers
1W-1D-0L
AWAY SGV Freiberg
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
28.09.2024 SGV Freiberg SGV Freiberg 2-2 HT 0-1 Stuttgarter Kickers Stuttgarter Kickers ALMBÖL
04.11.2023 SGV Freiberg SGV Freiberg 0-2 HT 0-1 Stuttgarter Kickers Stuttgarter Kickers ALMBÖL
POST-MATCH Stuttgarter Kickers vs SGV Freiberg
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Stuttgarter Kickers nicked a narrow win over SGV Freiberg 3-2. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Stuttgarter Kickers as the likeliest winner at 41%, and the 3-2 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (55%) — went the other way, though.

Coming into the game, across their last 2 meetings in our records, Stuttgarter Kickers had the better of it with 1 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for Stuttgarter Kickers and 1.00 for SGV Freiberg.

What was the final score of Stuttgarter Kickers vs SGV Freiberg?

Stuttgarter Kickers 3-2 SGV Freiberg in the Germany - Regional League on 09/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Stuttgarter Kickers vs SGV Freiberg?

Before kick-off our model rated a Stuttgarter Kickers win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Stuttgarter Kickers 41%, draw 28%, SGV Freiberg 31%. The final score 3-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Stuttgarter Kickers), BTTS Yes — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Stuttgarter Kickers) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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