Altglienicke 3-1 FSV Zwickau — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Germany - Regional League, 9 Apr 2025

📅09/04/2025 · 🕒20:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
49%
1.75
Draw
22%
3.8
Away
29%
3.71
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
49%
2.18
Over 2.5
51%
1.62
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.63
No
52%
2.13
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
29%
2-3 Goals
32%
4-5 Goals
29%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
25%
1/2
5%
1/X
5%
X/1
18%
X/2
7%
X/X
11%
2/1
6%
2/2
17%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
49%
Home Win
53%
-4.4pp
22%
Draw
23%
-1.1pp
29%
Away Win
24%
+5.5pp
49%
Under 2.5
42%
+7.3pp
51%
Over 2.5
58%
-7.3pp
48%
BTTS Yes
57%
-9.7pp
52%
BTTS No
43%
+9.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Altglienicke EU Bookmakers 57%
Head to Head
AWAY FSV Zwickau EU Bookmakers 27%
-14% / -4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +1% / +0%
1.81/1.53 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.02/1.52
-8% / -30% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -20% / +10%
56% Ball Possession 44%
12 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
314 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 299 · 75%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.8 Yellow Cards 2.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Altglienicke
2W-0D-1L
AWAY FSV Zwickau
3.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
66% Ball Possession 34%
19 Total Shots 7
5 Shots on Target 5
8 Corners 1
1 Yellow Cards 3
30.08.2024 FSV Zwickau FSV Zwickau 0-3 HT 0-1 Altglienicke Altglienicke ALMBÖL
07.04.2024 Altglienicke Altglienicke 2-3 HT 1-0 FSV Zwickau FSV Zwickau ALMBÖL
22.10.2023 FSV Zwickau FSV Zwickau 0-5 HT 0-2 Altglienicke Altglienicke ALMBÖL
POST-MATCH Altglienicke vs FSV Zwickau
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Altglienicke got the better of FSV Zwickau 3-1. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Altglienicke as the likeliest winner at 49%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 51% and both teams to score was close to even at 48%.

For context: across their last 3 meetings in our records, Altglienicke had the better of it with 2 wins. Those games averaged 3.33 goals for Altglienicke and 1.00 for FSV Zwickau.

What was the final score of Altglienicke vs FSV Zwickau?

Altglienicke 3-1 FSV Zwickau in the Germany - Regional League on 09/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Altglienicke vs FSV Zwickau?

Before kick-off our model rated a Altglienicke win the most likely single outcome at about 49%, with the full match-result split Altglienicke 49%, draw 22%, FSV Zwickau 29%. The final score 3-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Altglienicke), Over 2.5 — while BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Altglienicke) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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