Canberra United (K) 1-2 Brisbane Roar (K) — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Australia - W-League, 4 Apr 2026

Canberra United (K)
1-2 HT 0-1
Brisbane Roar (K)
📅04/04/2026 · 🕒07:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 ✗ 2nd Score 3-1 ✗
Australia - W-League – 2025/2026

Canberra United (K) vs Brisbane Roar (K) Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
58%
1.57
Draw
19%
4.08
Away
23%
4.31
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
34%
Over 2.5
66%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
64%
1.53
No
36%
2.33
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
15%
2-3 Goals
42%
4-5 Goals
31%
6+ Goals
12%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
29%
1/2
6%
1/X
4%
X/1
18%
X/2
9%
X/X
12%
2/1
11%
2/2
8%
2/X
3%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
58%
Home Win
59%
-0.9pp
19%
Draw
21%
-2.0pp
23%
Away Win
20%
+2.9pp
64%
BTTS Yes
61%
+3.3pp
36%
BTTS No
39%
-3.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Canberra United (K) v Brisbane Roar (K) — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Canberra United (K) EU Bookmakers 64%
Head to Head
AWAY Brisbane Roar (K) EU Bookmakers 23%
+24% / +24% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +17% / +17%
0.89/0.57 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.70/1.54
+47% / +150% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +65% / -14%
58% Ball Possession 42%
17 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 4
358 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 285 · 75%
17.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 18.7
10.0 Crosses 12.5
0.0 Yellow Cards 1.2

Canberra United (K) vs Brisbane Roar (K) Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Canberra United (K)
4W-0D-2L
AWAY Brisbane Roar (K)
2.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
1.27 xG 1.69
42% Ball Possession 58%
10 Total Shots 17
4 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 7
202 Passes 309
65% Pass Accuracy 74%
18 Box Touches 21
12 Crosses 20
1 Yellow Cards 1
The Meetings
23.01.2026 Brisbane Roar (K) Brisbane Roar (K) 3-1 HT 1-1 Canberra United (K) Canberra United (K) AVUSTW
04.01.2025 Brisbane Roar (K) Brisbane Roar (K) 1-2 HT 0-0 Canberra United (K) Canberra United (K) AVUSTW
02.11.2024 Canberra United (K) Canberra United (K) 3-2 HT 2-0 Brisbane Roar (K) Brisbane Roar (K) AVUSTW
30.03.2024 Brisbane Roar (K) Brisbane Roar (K) 1-2 HT 1-0 Canberra United (K) Canberra United (K) AVUSTW
10.12.2023 Canberra United (K) Canberra United (K) 5-1 HT 3-0 Brisbane Roar (K) Brisbane Roar (K) AVUSTW
05.12.2019 Canberra United (K) Canberra United (K) 1-2 HT 0-2 Brisbane Roar (K) Brisbane Roar (K) AVUSTW

Canberra United (K) 1-2 Brisbane Roar (K) — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Canberra United (K)
1-2
AWAY Brisbane Roar (K)
1.88 xG 0.97
60% Ball Possession 40%
16 Total Shots 10
10 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 6
260 Passes 132
68% Pass Accuracy 51%
24 Box Touches 11
22 Crosses 12
2 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Canberra United (K) vs Brisbane Roar (K)
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Brisbane Roar (K) edged past Canberra United (K) 2-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

By our pre-match numbers this was an upset: we had Canberra United (K) at 58% and the game still went the other way. Single results are noisy — probabilities earn their keep across thousands of matches, not one. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (66%), both teams to score (64%) came in.

On the day, Canberra United (K) had 60% of the ball to Brisbane Roar (K)'s 40%, shots finished 16-10, expected goals 1.88 to 0.97 — the balance of chances actually favoured Canberra United (K).

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Canberra United (K) had the better of it with 4 wins. Those games averaged 2.33 goals for Canberra United (K) and 1.67 for Brisbane Roar (K).

What was the final score of Canberra United (K) vs Brisbane Roar (K)?

Canberra United (K) 1-2 Brisbane Roar (K) in the Australia - W-League on 04/04/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Canberra United (K) vs Brisbane Roar (K)?

Before kick-off our model rated a Canberra United (K) win the most likely single outcome at about 58%, with the full match-result split Canberra United (K) 58%, draw 19%, Brisbane Roar (K) 23%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Canberra United (K)) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Canberra United (K)) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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