Arda Kardzhali 2-1 Montana — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Bulgaria - 1st Division, 4 Apr 2026

📅04/04/2026 · 🕒14:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
64%
1.42
Draw
21%
3.94
Away
15%
7.18
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
52%
1.67
Over 2.5
48%
2.1
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
2.44
No
55%
1.49
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
32%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
17%
6+ Goals
11%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
32%
1/2
5%
1/X
6%
X/1
28%
X/2
4%
X/X
8%
2/1
5%
2/2
6%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
65%
Home Win
66%
-1.9pp
21%
Draw
22%
-1.7pp
15%
Away Win
11%
+3.5pp
52%
Under 2.5
56%
-4.4pp
48%
Over 2.5
44%
+4.4pp
45%
BTTS Yes
37%
+8.2pp
55%
BTTS No
63%
-8.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Arda Kardzhali EU Bookmakers 70%
Head to Head
AWAY Montana EU Bookmakers 14%
-1% / -6% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +3% / +3%
1.67/0.77 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.41/1.69
-1% / -5% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -42% / +10%
57% Ball Possession 43%
15 Total Shots 8
6 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 3
356 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 243 · 75%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.9 Yellow Cards 1.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Arda Kardzhali
0W-1D-0L
AWAY Montana
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
51% Ball Possession 49%
8 Total Shots 11
3 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
4 Yellow Cards 4
24.10.2025 Montana Montana 1-1 HT 1-1 Arda Kardzhali Arda Kardzhali BUL1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Arda Kardzhali
2-1
AWAY Montana
52% Ball Possession 48%
10 Total Shots 8
6 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 2
3 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Arda Kardzhali vs Montana
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Arda Kardzhali edged past Montana 2-1. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Arda Kardzhali as the likeliest winner at 65%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — no to both teams scoring (55%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Arda Kardzhali had 52% of the ball to Montana's 48%, shots finished 10-8.

What was the final score of Arda Kardzhali vs Montana?

Arda Kardzhali 2-1 Montana in the Bulgaria - 1st Division on 04/04/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Arda Kardzhali vs Montana?

Before kick-off our model rated a Arda Kardzhali win the most likely single outcome at about 65%, with the full match-result split Arda Kardzhali 65%, draw 21%, Montana 15%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Arda Kardzhali) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Arda Kardzhali) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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