Montana 1-1 Arda Kardzhali — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Bulgaria - 1st Division, 24 Oct 2025

Montana
1-1 HT 1-1
Arda Kardzhali
📅24/10/2025 · 🕒15:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 ✗ 2nd Score 1-1 ✓
Bulgaria - 1st Division – 2025/2026

Montana vs Arda Kardzhali Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
30%
3.17
Draw
25%
3.11
Away
45%
2.11
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
55%
1.56
Over 2.5
45%
2.29
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
2.03
No
50%
1.7
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
31%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
19%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
13%
1/2
10%
1/X
8%
X/1
13%
X/2
17%
X/X
11%
2/1
4%
2/2
18%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
30%
Home Win
28%
+2.4pp
25%
Draw
29%
-3.5pp
44%
Away Win
43%
+1.1pp
55%
Under 2.5
60%
-5.5pp
45%
Over 2.5
40%
+5.5pp
50%
BTTS Yes
45%
+4.6pp
50%
BTTS No
55%
-4.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Montana v Arda Kardzhali — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Montana EU Bookmakers 32%
Head to Head
AWAY Arda Kardzhali EU Bookmakers 48%
+36% / +36% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +12% / +12%
1.00/0.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.80/0.50
-4% / – Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +31% / +97%
46% Ball Possession 54%
9 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 5
3 Corners 6
311 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 352 · 82%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
3.0 Yellow Cards 2.5

Montana 1-1 Arda Kardzhali — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Montana
1-1
AWAY Arda Kardzhali
49% Ball Possession 51%
11 Total Shots 8
4 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 4
4 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Montana vs Arda Kardzhali
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Montana and Arda Kardzhali shared the points in a 1-1 draw.

Our pre-match lean was Arda Kardzhali at 44%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (55%) came in.

On the day, Montana had 49% of the ball to Arda Kardzhali's 51%, shots finished 11-8.

What was the final score of Montana vs Arda Kardzhali?

Montana 1-1 Arda Kardzhali in the Bulgaria - 1st Division on 24/10/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Montana vs Arda Kardzhali?

Before kick-off our model rated an Arda Kardzhali win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Montana 30%, draw 25%, Arda Kardzhali 44%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Arda Kardzhali) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Arda Kardzhali) ✓ Under 2.5
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