Lokomotiv Sofia 1929 2-2 Lokomotiv Plovdiv — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Bulgaria - 1st Division, 24 Oct 2025

📅24/10/2025 · 🕒20:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
43%
2.19
Draw
29%
3.04
Away
28%
3.08
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
54%
1.59
Over 2.5
46%
2.23
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
1.96
No
54%
1.75
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
34%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
19%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
24%
1/2
5%
1/X
7%
X/1
13%
X/2
10%
X/X
15%
2/1
5%
2/2
13%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
43%
Home Win
42%
+1.1pp
29%
Draw
29%
+0.2pp
28%
Away Win
29%
-1.2pp
54%
Under 2.5
59%
-4.7pp
46%
Over 2.5
41%
+4.7pp
46%
BTTS Yes
47%
-1.1pp
54%
BTTS No
53%
+1.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Lokomotiv Sofia 1929 EU Bookmakers 46%
Head to Head
AWAY Lokomotiv Plovdiv EU Bookmakers 32%
-24% / -24% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +3% / +3%
0.88/1.30 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.02/1.13
-20% / -20% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -11% / -7%
54% Ball Possession 46%
14 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
342 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 292 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.5 Yellow Cards 3.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Lokomotiv Sofia 1929
0W-2D-3L
AWAY Lokomotiv Plovdiv
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.80
47% Ball Possession 53%
11 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 4
3 Yellow Cards 3
02.05.2025 Lokomotiv Plovdiv Lokomotiv Plovdiv 1-1 HT 1-0 Lokomotiv Sofia 1929 Lokomotiv Sofia 1929 BUL1
23.02.2025 Lokomotiv Sofia 1929 Lokomotiv Sofia 1929 0-1 HT 0-0 Lokomotiv Plovdiv Lokomotiv Plovdiv BUL1
01.09.2024 Lokomotiv Plovdiv Lokomotiv Plovdiv 1-1 HT 0-1 Lokomotiv Sofia 1929 Lokomotiv Sofia 1929 BUL1
10.11.2023 Lokomotiv Plovdiv Lokomotiv Plovdiv 2-1 HT 1-1 Lokomotiv Sofia 1929 Lokomotiv Sofia 1929 BUL1
23.07.2023 Lokomotiv Sofia 1929 Lokomotiv Sofia 1929 2-4 HT 1-1 Lokomotiv Plovdiv Lokomotiv Plovdiv BUL1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Lokomotiv Sofia 1929
2-2
AWAY Lokomotiv Plovdiv
54% Ball Possession 46%
8 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 4
3 Corners 3
3 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Lokomotiv Sofia 1929 vs Lokomotiv Plovdiv
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Lokomotiv Sofia 1929 and Lokomotiv Plovdiv couldn't be separated, finishing 2-2. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match lean was Lokomotiv Sofia 1929 at 43%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 46% and both teams to score was close to even at 46%.

On the day, Lokomotiv Sofia 1929 had 54% of the ball to Lokomotiv Plovdiv's 46%, shots finished 8-14.

For context: across their last 5 meetings in our records, Lokomotiv Plovdiv led the recent series with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Lokomotiv Sofia 1929 and 1.80 for Lokomotiv Plovdiv.

What was the final score of Lokomotiv Sofia 1929 vs Lokomotiv Plovdiv?

Lokomotiv Sofia 1929 2-2 Lokomotiv Plovdiv in the Bulgaria - 1st Division on 24/10/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Lokomotiv Sofia 1929 vs Lokomotiv Plovdiv?

Before kick-off our model rated a Lokomotiv Sofia 1929 win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Lokomotiv Sofia 1929 43%, draw 29%, Lokomotiv Plovdiv 28%. The final score 2-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Lokomotiv Sofia 1929) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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