Spartak Varna 3-2 Botev Plovdiv — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Bulgaria - 1st Division, 24 Oct 2025

📅24/10/2025 · 🕒17:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
24%
3.29
Draw
24%
3.35
Away
52%
1.98
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
49%
1.8
Over 2.5
51%
1.91
Both Teams to Score
Yes
54%
1.76
No
46%
1.95
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
2-3 Goals
39%
4-5 Goals
25%
6+ Goals
11%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
8%
1/2
8%
1/X
7%
X/1
12%
X/2
23%
X/X
7%
2/1
4%
2/2
21%
2/X
10%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
24%
Home Win
27%
-2.7pp
24%
Draw
26%
-2.7pp
52%
Away Win
47%
+5.4pp
49%
Under 2.5
52%
-2.7pp
51%
Over 2.5
48%
+2.7pp
54%
BTTS Yes
53%
+1.2pp
46%
BTTS No
47%
-1.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Spartak Varna EU Bookmakers 30%
Head to Head
AWAY Botev Plovdiv EU Bookmakers 50%
+2% / +2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +15% / +18%
0.63/0.98 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.81/0.76
-32% / +47% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +32% / +26%
47% Ball Possession 53%
11 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 5
309 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 356 · 81%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.2 Yellow Cards 2.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Spartak Varna
2W-1D-2L
AWAY Botev Plovdiv
1.20 Avg Goals (FT) 1.20
39% Ball Possession 61%
10 Total Shots 16
4 Shots on Target 5
3 Corners 6
3 Yellow Cards 1
04.05.2025 Botev Plovdiv Botev Plovdiv 3-2 HT 2-1 Spartak Varna Spartak Varna BUL1
15.02.2025 Spartak Varna Spartak Varna 1-0 HT 0-0 Botev Plovdiv Botev Plovdiv BUL1
24.08.2024 Botev Plovdiv Botev Plovdiv 0-1 HT 0-0 Spartak Varna Spartak Varna BUL1
27.02.2024 Botev Plovdiv Botev Plovdiv 2-1 HT 1-0 Spartak Varna Spartak Varna BULK
17.04.2023 Botev Plovdiv Botev Plovdiv 1-1 HT 1-0 Spartak Varna Spartak Varna BUL1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Spartak Varna
3-2
AWAY Botev Plovdiv
52% Ball Possession 48%
12 Total Shots 14
6 Shots on Target 5
2 Corners 5
4 Yellow Cards 1
FAQ Spartak Varna vs Botev Plovdiv
Match summary & frequently asked questions

Spartak Varna edged past Botev Plovdiv 3-2 in the Bulgaria - 1st Division on 24 Oct 2025. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 51% and both teams to score was close to even at 54%.

On the day, Spartak Varna had 52% of the ball to Botev Plovdiv's 48%, shots finished 12-14.

Across their last 5 meetings in our records, honours are even at 2 apiece, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.20 goals for Spartak Varna and 1.20 for Botev Plovdiv.

What was the final score of Spartak Varna vs Botev Plovdiv?

Spartak Varna 3-2 Botev Plovdiv in the Bulgaria - 1st Division on 24/10/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Spartak Varna vs Botev Plovdiv?

Before kick-off our model rated an Botev Plovdiv win the most likely single outcome at about 52%, with the full match-result split Spartak Varna 24%, draw 24%, Botev Plovdiv 52%. The final score 3-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Botev Plovdiv) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Botev Plovdiv) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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