Botev Plovdiv vs Spartak Varna Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Botev Plovdiv v Spartak Varna — Team-Based Signals
Botev Plovdiv vs Spartak Varna Head-to-Head — Last 2 Meetings
1-1
HT 1-0
Spartak Varna
BUL1
Botev Plovdiv 0-1 Spartak Varna — Actual Match Statistics
Spartak Varna squeezed past Botev Plovdiv 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.
Our pre-match lean was Botev Plovdiv at 53%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 53% and both teams to score was close to even at 47%.
On the day, Botev Plovdiv had 56% of the ball to Spartak Varna's 44%, shots finished 8-8.
For context: across their last 2 meetings in our records, Botev Plovdiv had the better of it with 1 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Botev Plovdiv and 1.00 for Spartak Varna.
What was the final score of Botev Plovdiv vs Spartak Varna?
Botev Plovdiv 0-1 Spartak Varna in the Bulgaria - 1st Division on 24/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Botev Plovdiv vs Spartak Varna?
Before kick-off our model rated a Botev Plovdiv win the most likely single outcome at about 53%, with the full match-result split Botev Plovdiv 53%, draw 22%, Spartak Varna 25%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS No — while Match Result (Botev Plovdiv), Over 2.5 went the other way.