Arda Kardzhali 2-1 CSKA Sofia — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Bulgaria - 1st Division, 24 Aug 2024

📅24/08/2024 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
33%
3.46
Draw
25%
3.18
Away
42%
1.98
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
65%
1.59
Over 2.5
35%
2.23
Both Teams to Score
Yes
35%
2.06
No
65%
1.68
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
41%
2-3 Goals
39%
4-5 Goals
14%
6+ Goals
6%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
10%
1/2
4%
1/X
7%
X/1
18%
X/2
17%
X/X
14%
2/1
5%
2/2
21%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
33%
Home Win
26%
+7.9pp
25%
Draw
28%
-3.4pp
42%
Away Win
46%
-4.5pp
65%
Under 2.5
59%
+5.9pp
35%
Over 2.5
41%
-5.9pp
35%
BTTS Yes
44%
-9.9pp
65%
BTTS No
56%
+9.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Arda Kardzhali EU Bookmakers 29%
Head to Head
AWAY CSKA Sofia EU Bookmakers 50%
-17% / -17% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +4% / +4%
0.46/1.68 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.23/0.69
-53% / -17% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -14% / +25%
46% Ball Possession 54%
9 Total Shots 13
3 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
254 · 72% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 320 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.6 Yellow Cards 3.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Arda Kardzhali
0W-1D-2L
AWAY CSKA Sofia
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
44% Ball Possession 56%
6 Total Shots 14
3 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 10
3 Yellow Cards 2
21.04.2024 Arda Kardzhali Arda Kardzhali 2-3 HT 2-1 CSKA Sofia CSKA Sofia BUL1
28.02.2024 CSKA Sofia CSKA Sofia 1-0 HT 1-0 Arda Kardzhali Arda Kardzhali BULK
27.10.2023 CSKA Sofia CSKA Sofia 0-0 HT 0-0 Arda Kardzhali Arda Kardzhali BUL1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Arda Kardzhali
2-1
AWAY CSKA Sofia
50% Ball Possession 50%
13 Total Shots 18
7 Shots on Target 9
1 Corners 11
1 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Arda Kardzhali vs CSKA Sofia
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Arda Kardzhali nicked a narrow win over CSKA Sofia 2-1. Half-time: 1-0.

Our pre-match lean was CSKA Sofia at 42%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (65%), no to both teams scoring (65%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Arda Kardzhali had 50% of the ball to CSKA Sofia's 50%, shots finished 13-18.

For context: across their last 3 meetings in our records, CSKA Sofia led the recent series with 2 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Arda Kardzhali and 1.33 for CSKA Sofia.

What was the final score of Arda Kardzhali vs CSKA Sofia?

Arda Kardzhali 2-1 CSKA Sofia in the Bulgaria - 1st Division on 24/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Arda Kardzhali vs CSKA Sofia?

Before kick-off our model rated an CSKA Sofia win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Arda Kardzhali 33%, draw 25%, CSKA Sofia 42%. The final score 2-1 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (CSKA Sofia) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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