Spartak Varna vs Botev Plovdiv Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Spartak Varna v Botev Plovdiv — Team-Based Signals
Spartak Varna vs Botev Plovdiv Head-to-Head — Last 3 Meetings
1-1
HT 1-0
Spartak Varna
BUL1
Spartak Varna 1-0 Botev Plovdiv — Actual Match Statistics
Spartak Varna edged past Botev Plovdiv 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.
Our pre-match lean was Botev Plovdiv at 50%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (56%) came in.
On the day, Spartak Varna had 47% of the ball to Botev Plovdiv's 53%, shots finished 14-15.
For context: across their last 3 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Spartak Varna and 1.00 for Botev Plovdiv.
What was the final score of Spartak Varna vs Botev Plovdiv?
Spartak Varna 1-0 Botev Plovdiv in the Bulgaria - 1st Division on 15/02/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Spartak Varna vs Botev Plovdiv?
Before kick-off our model rated an Botev Plovdiv win the most likely single outcome at about 50%, with the full match-result split Spartak Varna 27%, draw 23%, Botev Plovdiv 50%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Botev Plovdiv) went the other way.