Hebar 1918 1-4 Levski Sofia — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Bulgaria - 1st Division, 15 Feb 2025

📅15/02/2025 · 🕒18:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-2 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
18%
7.78
Draw
24%
4.49
Away
58%
1.33
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
1.8
Over 2.5
47%
1.91
Both Teams to Score
Yes
38%
2.4
No
62%
1.5
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
2-3 Goals
45%
4-5 Goals
22%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
5%
1/2
6%
1/X
8%
X/1
8%
X/2
17%
X/X
7%
2/1
5%
2/2
35%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
18%
Home Win
10%
+7.4pp
24%
Draw
19%
+5.4pp
58%
Away Win
71%
-12.8pp
53%
Under 2.5
52%
+1.4pp
47%
Over 2.5
48%
-1.4pp
38%
BTTS Yes
38%
+0.7pp
62%
BTTS No
62%
-0.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Hebar 1918 EU Bookmakers 13%
Head to Head
AWAY Levski Sofia EU Bookmakers 75%
+2% / +7% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +4% / +3%
0.57/1.54 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.00/0.48
-26% / +15% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +18% / +43%
42% Ball Possession 58%
6 Total Shots 15
2 Shots on Target 7
3 Corners 6
279 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 504 · 88%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.5 Yellow Cards 2.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Hebar 1918
1W-0D-3L
AWAY Levski Sofia
0.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
40% Ball Possession 60%
5 Total Shots 13
2 Shots on Target 5
3 Corners 5
2 Yellow Cards 1
23.08.2024 Levski Sofia Levski Sofia 1-0 HT 1-0 Hebar 1918 Hebar 1918 BUL1
04.03.2024 Hebar 1918 Hebar 1918 0-1 HT 0-0 Levski Sofia Levski Sofia BUL1
06.12.2023 Hebar 1918 Hebar 1918 2-1 HT 0-0 Levski Sofia Levski Sofia BULK
03.09.2023 Levski Sofia Levski Sofia 1-0 HT 0-0 Hebar 1918 Hebar 1918 BUL1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Hebar 1918
1-4
AWAY Levski Sofia
58% Ball Possession 42%
3 Total Shots 13
2 Shots on Target 6
1 Corners 5
3 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Hebar 1918 vs Levski Sofia
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Levski Sofia cruised past Hebar 1918 4-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-2. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Levski Sofia as the likeliest winner at 58%, and the 4-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — no to both teams scoring (62%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Hebar 1918 had 58% of the ball to Levski Sofia's 42%, shots finished 3-13.

For context: across their last 4 meetings in our records, Levski Sofia led the recent series with 3 wins. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for Hebar 1918 and 1.00 for Levski Sofia.

What was the final score of Hebar 1918 vs Levski Sofia?

Hebar 1918 1-4 Levski Sofia in the Bulgaria - 1st Division on 15/02/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Hebar 1918 vs Levski Sofia?

Before kick-off our model rated an Levski Sofia win the most likely single outcome at about 58%, with the full match-result split Hebar 1918 18%, draw 24%, Levski Sofia 58%. The final score 1-4 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Levski Sofia) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Levski Sofia) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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