Levski Sofia 1-0 Hebar 1918 — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Bulgaria - 1st Division, 23 Aug 2024

📅23/08/2024 · 🕒21:15 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
63%
1.16
Draw
23%
7.13
Away
14%
10.87
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
51%
2.89
Over 2.5
49%
1.38
Both Teams to Score
Yes
40%
2.53
No
60%
1.46
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
27%
2-3 Goals
36%
4-5 Goals
27%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
21%
1/2
4%
1/X
5%
X/1
36%
X/2
5%
X/X
11%
2/1
6%
2/2
5%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
63%
Home Win
82%
-19.1pp
23%
Draw
11%
+11.8pp
14%
Away Win
7%
+7.4pp
51%
Under 2.5
31%
+19.5pp
49%
Over 2.5
69%
-19.5pp
40%
BTTS Yes
36%
+4.9pp
60%
BTTS No
64%
-4.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Levski Sofia EU Bookmakers 87%
Head to Head
AWAY Hebar 1918 EU Bookmakers 9%
+2% / +1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +1% / +1%
1.96/0.14 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.76/2.04
-14% / +150% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +37% / +2%
62% Ball Possession 38%
18 Total Shots 8
6 Shots on Target 2
7 Corners 3
449 · 83% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 244 · 75%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.7 Yellow Cards 2.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Levski Sofia
2W-0D-1L
AWAY Hebar 1918
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
60% Ball Possession 40%
12 Total Shots 6
4 Shots on Target 1
4 Corners 3
1 Yellow Cards 2
04.03.2024 Hebar 1918 Hebar 1918 0-1 HT 0-0 Levski Sofia Levski Sofia BUL1
06.12.2023 Hebar 1918 Hebar 1918 2-1 HT 0-0 Levski Sofia Levski Sofia BULK
03.09.2023 Levski Sofia Levski Sofia 1-0 HT 0-0 Hebar 1918 Hebar 1918 BUL1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Levski Sofia
1-0
AWAY Hebar 1918
58% Ball Possession 42%
14 Total Shots 4
6 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 1
0 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Levski Sofia vs Hebar 1918
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Levski Sofia squeezed past Hebar 1918 1-0.

As we said in the preview, our model had Levski Sofia as the likeliest winner at 63%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. We had also flagged no to both teams scoring (60%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Levski Sofia had 58% of the ball to Hebar 1918's 42%, shots finished 14-4.

For context: across their last 3 meetings in our records, Levski Sofia had the better of it with 2 wins. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Levski Sofia and 0.67 for Hebar 1918.

What was the final score of Levski Sofia vs Hebar 1918?

Levski Sofia 1-0 Hebar 1918 in the Bulgaria - 1st Division on 23/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Levski Sofia vs Hebar 1918?

Before kick-off our model rated a Levski Sofia win the most likely single outcome at about 63%, with the full match-result split Levski Sofia 63%, draw 23%, Hebar 1918 14%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Levski Sofia), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Levski Sofia) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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