Lokomotiv Sofia 1929 0-1 Botev Vratsa — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Bulgaria - 1st Division, 23 Aug 2024

Lokomotiv Sofia 1929
0-1 HT 0-1
Botev Vratsa
📅23/08/2024 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 ✗ 2nd Score 0-0 ✗
Bulgaria - 1st Division – 2024/2025

Lokomotiv Sofia 1929 vs Botev Vratsa Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
38%
2.18
Draw
31%
3.11
Away
31%
3.15
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
58%
1.54
Over 2.5
42%
2.33
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
2.03
No
50%
1.7
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
29%
2-3 Goals
50%
4-5 Goals
14%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
1/2
4%
1/X
8%
X/1
14%
X/2
11%
X/X
16%
2/1
8%
2/2
17%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
38%
Home Win
42%
-4.8pp
31%
Draw
29%
+2.1pp
31%
Away Win
29%
+2.6pp
58%
Under 2.5
61%
-2.9pp
42%
Over 2.5
39%
+2.9pp
50%
BTTS Yes
45%
+4.4pp
50%
BTTS No
55%
-4.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Lokomotiv Sofia 1929 v Botev Vratsa — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Lokomotiv Sofia 1929 EU Bookmakers 46%
Head to Head
AWAY Botev Vratsa EU Bookmakers 32%
-30% / -30% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +34% / +34%
0.67/1.43 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.50/1.00
-40% / -32% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +42% / +10%
52% Ball Possession 48%
12 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
401 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 287 · 74%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
2.2 Yellow Cards 2.5

Lokomotiv Sofia 1929 vs Botev Vratsa Head-to-Head — Last 4 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Lokomotiv Sofia 1929
2W-1D-1L
AWAY Botev Vratsa
1.25 Avg Goals (FT) 0.75
51% Ball Possession 49%
10 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 5
3 Yellow Cards 3
The Meetings
17.05.2024 Lokomotiv Sofia 1929 Lokomotiv Sofia 1929 1-1 HT 1-1 Botev Vratsa Botev Vratsa BUL1
06.11.2023 Botev Vratsa Botev Vratsa 0-2 HT 0-1 Lokomotiv Sofia 1929 Lokomotiv Sofia 1929 BUL1
17.07.2023 Lokomotiv Sofia 1929 Lokomotiv Sofia 1929 1-0 HT 0-0 Botev Vratsa Botev Vratsa BUL1
02.05.2023 Botev Vratsa Botev Vratsa 2-1 HT 2-0 Lokomotiv Sofia 1929 Lokomotiv Sofia 1929 BUL1

Lokomotiv Sofia 1929 0-1 Botev Vratsa — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Lokomotiv Sofia 1929
0-1
AWAY Botev Vratsa
68% Ball Possession 32%
16 Total Shots 7
4 Shots on Target 3
8 Corners 1
2 Yellow Cards 5
POST-MATCH Lokomotiv Sofia 1929 vs Botev Vratsa
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Botev Vratsa edged past Lokomotiv Sofia 1929 1-0 away from home.

Our pre-match split (38% / 31% / 31%) promised a tight game; Botev Vratsa found the edge the numbers couldn't. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (58%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Lokomotiv Sofia 1929 had 68% of the ball to Botev Vratsa's 32%, shots finished 16-7.

Coming into the game, across their last 4 meetings in our records, Lokomotiv Sofia 1929 had the better of it with 2 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.25 goals for Lokomotiv Sofia 1929 and 0.75 for Botev Vratsa.

What was the final score of Lokomotiv Sofia 1929 vs Botev Vratsa?

Lokomotiv Sofia 1929 0-1 Botev Vratsa in the Bulgaria - 1st Division on 23/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Lokomotiv Sofia 1929 vs Botev Vratsa?

Before kick-off our model rated a Lokomotiv Sofia 1929 win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Lokomotiv Sofia 1929 38%, draw 31%, Botev Vratsa 31%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Lokomotiv Sofia 1929) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Lokomotiv Sofia 1929) ✓ Under 2.5
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