Lokomotiv Sofia 1929 1-1 Botev Vratsa — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Bulgaria - 1st Division, 17 May 2024

Lokomotiv Sofia 1929
1-1 HT 1-1
Botev Vratsa
📅17/05/2024 · 🕒17:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 ✗ 2nd Score 1-0 ✗
Bulgaria - 1st Division – 2023/2024

Lokomotiv Sofia 1929 vs Botev Vratsa Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
45%
2.12
Draw
28%
3.11
Away
27%
3.15
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
56%
1.59
Over 2.5
44%
2.23
Both Teams to Score
Yes
44%
1.99
No
56%
1.73
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
31%
2-3 Goals
46%
4-5 Goals
17%
6+ Goals
6%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
28%
1/2
6%
1/X
11%
X/1
11%
X/2
11%
X/X
11%
2/1
6%
2/2
11%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
45%
Home Win
43%
+1.9pp
28%
Draw
29%
-1.1pp
27%
Away Win
28%
-0.8pp
56%
Under 2.5
59%
-3.3pp
44%
Over 2.5
41%
+3.3pp
44%
BTTS Yes
46%
-1.7pp
56%
BTTS No
54%
+1.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Lokomotiv Sofia 1929 v Botev Vratsa — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Lokomotiv Sofia 1929 EU Bookmakers 47%
Head to Head
AWAY Botev Vratsa EU Bookmakers 32%
-22% / -22% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +58% / +58%
0.74/1.27 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.00/1.00
-35% / -24% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +78% / +7%
48% Ball Possession 52%
11 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
274 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 320 · 78%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
2.7 Yellow Cards 3.0

Lokomotiv Sofia 1929 vs Botev Vratsa Head-to-Head — Last 3 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Lokomotiv Sofia 1929
2W-0D-1L
AWAY Botev Vratsa
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
50% Ball Possession 50%
11 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 6
3 Yellow Cards 4
The Meetings
06.11.2023 Botev Vratsa Botev Vratsa 0-2 HT 0-1 Lokomotiv Sofia 1929 Lokomotiv Sofia 1929 BUL1
17.07.2023 Lokomotiv Sofia 1929 Lokomotiv Sofia 1929 1-0 HT 0-0 Botev Vratsa Botev Vratsa BUL1
02.05.2023 Botev Vratsa Botev Vratsa 2-1 HT 2-0 Lokomotiv Sofia 1929 Lokomotiv Sofia 1929 BUL1

Lokomotiv Sofia 1929 1-1 Botev Vratsa — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Lokomotiv Sofia 1929
1-1
AWAY Botev Vratsa
52% Ball Possession 48%
9 Total Shots 7
4 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 2
3 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Lokomotiv Sofia 1929 vs Botev Vratsa
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Lokomotiv Sofia 1929 and Botev Vratsa couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1.

Our pre-match lean was Lokomotiv Sofia 1929 at 45%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. On goals, under 2.5 goals (56%) landed while no to both teams scoring (56%) missed.

On the day, Lokomotiv Sofia 1929 had 52% of the ball to Botev Vratsa's 48%, shots finished 9-7.

For context: across their last 3 meetings in our records, Lokomotiv Sofia 1929 had the better of it with 2 wins. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Lokomotiv Sofia 1929 and 0.67 for Botev Vratsa.

What was the final score of Lokomotiv Sofia 1929 vs Botev Vratsa?

Lokomotiv Sofia 1929 1-1 Botev Vratsa in the Bulgaria - 1st Division on 17/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Lokomotiv Sofia 1929 vs Botev Vratsa?

Before kick-off our model rated a Lokomotiv Sofia 1929 win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split Lokomotiv Sofia 1929 45%, draw 28%, Botev Vratsa 27%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Lokomotiv Sofia 1929), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Lokomotiv Sofia 1929) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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