OFK Pirin 2-2 Etar Veliko Tarnovo — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Bulgaria - 1st Division, 17 May 2024

📅17/05/2024 · 🕒15:15 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
52%
1.42
Draw
25%
4.19
Away
23%
6.38
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
57%
1.74
Over 2.5
43%
2.0
Both Teams to Score
Yes
44%
2.33
No
56%
1.53
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
29%
2-3 Goals
46%
4-5 Goals
16%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
29%
1/2
9%
1/X
11%
X/1
19%
X/2
4%
X/X
10%
2/1
5%
2/2
9%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
52%
Home Win
66%
-13.8pp
25%
Draw
21%
+4.2pp
23%
Away Win
13%
+9.6pp
57%
Under 2.5
54%
+3.6pp
43%
Over 2.5
46%
-3.6pp
44%
BTTS Yes
39%
+5.2pp
56%
BTTS No
61%
-5.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME OFK Pirin EU Bookmakers 70%
Head to Head
AWAY Etar Veliko Tarnovo EU Bookmakers 16%
+24% / +24% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -13% / -13%
2.00/0.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.08/2.27
+15% / Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -87% / -13%
57% Ball Possession 43%
14 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
397 · 83% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 274 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
4.0 Yellow Cards 2.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME OFK Pirin
2W-0D-0L
AWAY Etar Veliko Tarnovo
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.50
45% Ball Possession 55%
6 Total Shots 8
5 Shots on Target 4
2 Corners 8
4 Yellow Cards 3
29.03.2024 OFK Pirin OFK Pirin 2-1 HT 1-1 Etar Veliko Tarnovo Etar Veliko Tarnovo BUL1
28.09.2023 Etar Veliko Tarnovo Etar Veliko Tarnovo 0-2 HT 0-2 OFK Pirin OFK Pirin BUL1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME OFK Pirin
2-2
AWAY Etar Veliko Tarnovo
39% Ball Possession 61%
8 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 6
2 Corners 6
3 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH OFK Pirin vs Etar Veliko Tarnovo
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

OFK Pirin and Etar Veliko Tarnovo shared the points in a 2-2 draw. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

Our pre-match lean was OFK Pirin at 52%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (57%), no to both teams scoring (56%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, OFK Pirin had 39% of the ball to Etar Veliko Tarnovo's 61%, shots finished 8-11.

Coming into the game, across their last 2 meetings in our records, OFK Pirin had the better of it with 2 wins. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for OFK Pirin and 0.50 for Etar Veliko Tarnovo.

What was the final score of OFK Pirin vs Etar Veliko Tarnovo?

OFK Pirin 2-2 Etar Veliko Tarnovo in the Bulgaria - 1st Division on 17/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for OFK Pirin vs Etar Veliko Tarnovo?

Before kick-off our model rated a OFK Pirin win the most likely single outcome at about 52%, with the full match-result split OFK Pirin 52%, draw 25%, Etar Veliko Tarnovo 23%. The final score 2-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (OFK Pirin) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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